In: Statistics and Probability
he term marketing mix refers to the different components that can be controlled in a marketing strategy to increase sales or profit. The name comes from a cooking-mix analogy used by Neil Borden in his 1953 presidential address to the American Marketing Association.
In 1960, E. Jerome McCarthy proposed the “four Ps” of marketing—product, price, place (or distribution), and promotion—as the most basic components of the marketing mix. Variables related to the four Ps are called marketing mix variables.
A market researcher for a major manufacturer of computer printers is constructing a multiple regression model to predict monthly sales of printers using various marketing mix variables. The model uses historical data for various printer models and will be used to forecast sales for a newly introduced printer.
The dependent variable for the model is:
y = sales in a given month (in thousands of dollars) |
The independent variables for the model are chosen from the following marketing mix variables:
x11= product feature index for the printer (a score based on its quantity and quality of features) | |
x22 = average sale price (in dollars) | |
x33 = number of retail stores selling the printer | |
x44 = advertising spending for the given month (in thousands of dollars) | |
x55 = amount of coupon rebate (in dollars) |
The market researcher decides to predict sales using only the average sale price, the advertising spending for the given month, and the amount of the coupon rebate.
The multiple regression model has the following form:
y = β00 + β22x22 + β33x33 + β55x55 + ε
y = β00 + β22x22 + β44x44 + β55x55
y = β00 + β22x22 + β33x33 + β55x55
y = β00 + β22x22 + β44x44 + β55x55 + ε
The multiple regression equation has the following form:
E(y) = β00 + β22x22 + β33x33 + β55x55 + ε
E(y) = β00 + β22x22 + β33x33 + β55x55
E(y) = β00 + β22x22 + β44x44 + β55x55 + ε
E(y) = β00 + β22x22 + β44x44 + β55x55
The estimated multiple regression equation has the following form:
ŷ = b00 + b22x22 + b33x33 + b55x55
ŷ = b00 + b22x22 + b33x33 + b55x55 + ε
ŷ = b00 + b22x22 + b44x44 + b55x55 + ε
ŷ = b00 + b22x22 + b44x44 + b55x55
The least-squares estimates of the parameters β00, β22, β44, and β55 in the multiple regression equation can be obtained by minimizing:
Σii(yii – ŷii)
Σii(yii – b00 – b22x22ii – b44x44ii – b55x55ii)
Σii(yii – b00 – b22x22ii – b33x33ii – b55x55ii)²
Σii(yii – b00 – b22x22ii – b33x33ii – b55x55ii)
Σii(yii – b00 – b22x22ii – b44x44ii – b55x55ii)²
Using the least-squares criterion, the researcher obtained the following estimated multiple regression equation:
ŷ = 1,109 – 182x22 + 55x44 + 32x55
The coefficient 32 in the estimated multiple regression equation just given is an estimate of the change in average printer sales in a given month (in thousands of dollars) corresponding to a change in rebate amount when of the other independent variables are held constant. If the rebate amount increases by 8 units under this condition, you expect printer sales to increase on average by an estimated amount of .