In: Statistics and Probability
The following data are the monthly salaries y and the grade point averages x for students who obtained a bachelor's degree in business administration.
GPA | Monthly Salary ($) |
2.6 | 3,500 |
3.4 | 3,900 |
3.6 | 4,300 |
3.2 | 3,800 |
3.5 | 4,200 |
2.9 | 2,200 |
The estimated regression equation for these data is
y=-674.3+1,351.4x and MSE=395,912.
Use Table 1 of Appendix B.
a. Develop a point estimate of the starting salary for a student with a GPA of 3.0 (to 1 decimal).
b. Develop a 95% confidence interval for the mean starting salary for all students with a 3.0 GPA (to 2 decimals).
( , )
c. Develop a prediction interval for Ryan Dailey, a student with a GPA of 3.0 (to 2 decimals).
( , )
d. Discuss the differences in your answers to parts (b) and (c).
X | Y | X * Y | X2 | Ŷ | Sxx =Σ (Xi - X̅ )2 | Syy = Σ( Yi - Y̅ )2 | Sxy = Σ (Xi - X̅ ) * (Yi - Y̅) | |
2.6 | 3500 | 9100 | 6.76 | 2839.1892 | 0.36 | 22500 | 90 | |
3.4 | 3900 | 13260 | 11.56 | 3920.2703 | 0.04 | 62500 | 50 | |
3.6 | 4300 | 15480 | 12.96 | 4190.5405 | 0.16 | 422500 | 260 | |
3.2 | 3800 | 12160 | 10.24 | 3650.0000 | 0 | 22500 | 0 | |
3.5 | 4200 | 14700 | 12.25 | 4055.4054 | 0.09 | 302500 | 165 | |
2.9 | 2200 | 6380 | 8.41 | 3244.5946 | 0.09 | 2102500 | 435 | |
Total | 19.2 | 21900 | 71080 | 62.18 | 244.0800 | 0.74 | 2935000 | 1000 |
X̅ = Σ (Xi / n ) = 19.2/6 = 3.2
Y̅ = Σ (Yi / n ) = 21900/6 = 3650
Part a)
Point Estimate
Ŷ = -674.3243 + 1351.3514X
Ŷ = 3379.7
Part b)
Estimated Error Variance (σ̂2) =
S2 = ( 2935000 - 1351.3514 * 1000 ) / 6 - 2
S2 = 395912.15
S = 629.2155
Confidence Interval of
Ŷ = -674.3243 + 1351.3514X
Ŷ = 3379.73
t(α/2) = t(0.05/2) = 2.776
X̅ = (Xi / n ) = 19.2/6 = 3.2
95% confidence interval is ( 2559.12 <
< 4200.34 )
Part c)
Predictive Confidence Interval of
Ŷ = -674.3243 + 1351.3514X
Ŷ = 3379.73
t(α/2) = t(0.05/2) = 2.776
X̅ = (Xi / n ) = 19.2/6 = 3.2
= 3379.73
95% Predictive confidence interval is ( 1449.85 <
< 5309.61 )
Part d)
The difference in the confidence interval is, in prediction interval it covers future single observation than that found in part b)