In: Statistics and Probability
Create the probability distribution in a table for all the outcomes where X is the random variable representing the number of points awarded. (already done)
Communicate how you arrived at the probability of each outcome.
What is the expected value, E(X), for the game? You may include this in your table from the distribution. If the game costs 10 points to play, how much would the player expect to win or lose?
Three Prize roller
Outcome |
x |
P(x) |
xP(X) |
1 |
0 |
||
2 |
10 |
||
3 |
0 |
||
4 |
20 |
||
5 |
0 |
||
6 |
28 |
||
TOTAL |
Word scramble
a)
Outcome |
x |
P(x) |
xP(X) |
Just 1st |
0 |
||
Just 2nd |
5 |
||
Just 3rd |
15 |
||
Just 4 |
10 |
||
2 letter with 1st |
20 |
||
2 letter without 1st |
25 |
||
All 4 |
40 |
||
No letter |
0 |
||
Total |
Ten spinner
Outcomes - greens |
x |
P(x) |
xP(X) |
0 |
15 |
||
1 |
10 |
||
2 |
0 |
||
3 |
0 |
||
4 |
5 |
||
5 |
20 |
||
6 |
50 |
||
7 |
70 |
||
8 |
500 |
||
9 |
10000 |
||
10 |
100000 |
||
Total |
Three Prize roller
Outcome | x | P(x) | xP(X) |
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 10 | 0.172414 | 1.724138 |
3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 20 | 0.344828 | 6.896552 |
5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 28 | 0.482759 | 13.51724 |
Total | 58 | 1 | 22.13793 |
Expected value = 22.13793
Player will win = 22.13793 - 10 = 12.13793
===============================================
Outcome | x | P(x) | xP(X) |
Just 1st | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Just 2nd | 5 | 0.043478 | 0.217391 |
Just 3rd | 15 | 0.130435 | 1.956522 |
Just 4 | 10 | 0.086957 | 0.869565 |
2 letter with 1st | 20 | 0.173913 | 3.478261 |
2 letter without 1st | 25 | 0.217391 | 5.434783 |
All 4 | 40 | 0.347826 | 13.91304 |
No letter | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 115 | 1 | 25.86957 |
Expected value = 25.86957
Expected win = 15.86957
=========================================================
Ten spinner
Outcomes - greens | x | P(x) | xP(X) |
0 | 15 | 0.00013554 | 0.00203307 |
1 | 10 | 9.0359E-05 | 0.00090359 |
2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 5 | 4.5179E-05 | 0.0002259 |
5 | 20 | 0.00018072 | 0.00361435 |
6 | 50 | 0.00045179 | 0.02258968 |
7 | 70 | 0.00063251 | 0.04427577 |
8 | 500 | 0.00451794 | 2.2589681 |
9 | 10000 | 0.09035872 | 903.587241 |
10 | 100000 | 0.90358724 | 90358.7241 |
Total | 110670 | 1 | 91264.644 |
Expected value = 91264.644