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Basic scenario analysis  -- Prime Paints is in the process of evaluating two mutually exclusive additions...

Basic scenario analysis  -- Prime Paints is in the process of evaluating two mutually exclusive additions to its processing capacity. The​ firm's financial analysts have developed​ pessimistic, most​ likely, and optimistic estimates of the annual cash inflows associated with each project. These estimates are shown in the following table.

Project A

Project B

Initial investment

​(CF 0CF0​)

​12,200

​12,200

Outcome

Annual cash inflows

​(CFCF ​)

Pessimistic

​$800

​$1,560

Most likely

1,700

1,700

Optimistic

2,480

1,720

a. Determine the range of annual cash inflows for each of the two projects.

b. Assume that the​ firm's cost of capital is 9.8% and that both projects have 20​-year lives. Construct a table showing the NPVs for each project for each of the possible outcomes. Include the range of NPVs for each project.

c. Do parts ​A and ​B provide consistent views of the two​ projects? Explain.

d. Which project do you​ recommend? Why?

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