In: Statistics and Probability
A university would like to estimate the proportion of fans who purchase concessions at the first basketball game of the season. The basketball facility has a capacity of 3500 and is routinely sold out. It was discovered that a total of 300 fans out of a random sample of 500 purchased concessions during the game. Construct a 95% confidence interval to estimate the proportion of fans who purchased concessions during the game. The 95% confidence interval to estimate the proportion of fans who purchased concessions during the game is
Solution:
Given,
n = 500 ....... Sample size
x = 300 .......no. of successes in the sample
Let denotes the sample proportion.
= x/n = 300/500 = 0.6
Our aim is to construct 95% confidence interval.
c = 0.95
= 1- c = 1- 0.95 = 0.05
/2 = 0.025 and 1- /2 = 0.975
Search the probability 0.975 in the Z table and see corresponding z value
= 1.96
Now , the margin of error is given by
E = /2 *
= 1.96 * [0.6 *(1 - 0.6)/500]
= 0.043
Now the confidence interval is given by
( - E) ( + E)
(0.6 - 0.043) (0.6 + 0.043)
0.557 0.643
i.e.
(0.557 , 0.643)
The 95% confidence interval to estimate the proportion of fans who purchased concessions during the game is
0.557 0.643
i.e.
(0.557 , 0.643)