In: Finance
OpenSeas, Inc. is evaluating the purchase of a new cruise ship. The ship will cost $ 495 million, and will operate for 20 years. OpenSeas expects annual cash flows from operating the ship to be $ 70.7 million and its cost of capital is 12.1 %. a. Prepare an NPV profile of the purchase. b. Identify the IRR on the graph. c. Should OpenSeas proceed with the purchase? d. How far off could OpenSeas' cost of capital estimate be before your purchase decision would change?
a.NPV Calculation
Initial inflow =$495 Million
Annual inflow = $70.7 Million
Inflow Years = 20
Cost of capital or discount rate = 12.1%
So NPV will be
Year | Cash Inflow (In Millions $) | Discounted Value Calculation | Final Value (In Millions $) |
0 | -495 | -495 | -495 |
1 | 70.7 | =70.7/(1+12.1%)^1 | 63.0686886708296 |
2 | 70.7 | =70.7/(1+12.1%)^2 | 56.2610960489113 |
3 | 70.7 | =70.7/(1+12.1%)^3 | 50.1883104807416 |
4 | 70.7 | =70.7/(1+12.1%)^4 | 44.7710173780032 |
5 | 70.7 | =70.7/(1+12.1%)^5 | 39.9384633166844 |
6 | 70.7 | =70.7/(1+12.1%)^6 | 35.6275319506551 |
7 | 70.7 | =70.7/(1+12.1%)^7 | 31.781919670522 |
8 | 70.7 | =70.7/(1+12.1%)^8 | 28.351400241322 |
9 | 70.7 | =70.7/(1+12.1%)^9 | 25.2911688147386 |
10 | 70.7 | =70.7/(1+12.1%)^10 | 22.5612567482058 |
11 | 70.7 | =70.7/(1+12.1%)^11 | 20.1260095880515 |
12 | 70.7 | =70.7/(1+12.1%)^12 | 17.9536213987971 |
13 | 70.7 | =70.7/(1+12.1%)^13 | 16.0157193566432 |
14 | 70.7 | =70.7/(1+12.1%)^14 | 14.2869931816621 |
15 | 70.7 | =70.7/(1+12.1%)^15 | 12.7448645688333 |
16 | 70.7 | =70.7/(1+12.1%)^16 | 11.3691923004757 |
17 | 70.7 | =70.7/(1+12.1%)^17 | 10.1420091886492 |
18 | 70.7 | =70.7/(1+12.1%)^18 | 9.04728741181908 |
19 | 70.7 | =70.7/(1+12.1%)^19 | 8.07072918092692 |
20 | 70.7 | =70.7/(1+12.1%)^20 | 7.19958000082687 |
NPV ( Sum of all discounted inflow - initial outflow) | 29.80 |
b. IRR Calculation
IRR at the current cost of capital 12.1%
Year | Cash Inflow (In Millions $) |
0 | -495 |
1 | 70.70 |
2 | 70.70 |
3 | 70.70 |
4 | 70.70 |
5 | 70.70 |
6 | 70.70 |
7 | 70.70 |
8 | 70.70 |
9 | 70.70 |
10 | 70.70 |
11 | 70.70 |
12 | 70.70 |
13 | 70.70 |
14 | 70.70 |
15 | 70.70 |
16 | 70.70 |
17 | 70.70 |
18 | 70.70 |
19 | 70.70 |
20 | 70.70 |
IRR | 13.06% (Should be calculated the IRR function of excel) |
To represent IRR on graph, we have to calculate NPV on different Cost of capital. We can take cost of capital on different intervals for calculation purpose. NPV should be calculated as the above method
Cost of Capital | NPV |
0% | 919 |
2% | 661.05 |
4% | 465.84 |
6% | 315.92 |
8% | 199.14 |
10% | 106.91 |
12% | 22.09 |
14% | -26.74 |
16% | -75.83 |
Chart for the above table will be
c. Openseas' can proceed with the purchase as NPV is positive on current cost of capital.
d. As it clearly visible from the above chart and table that the NPV getting negative if the cost of capital goes above 13%, so they can change there decision to no purchase if cost of capital goes above 13%.