In: Finance
OpenSeas, Inc. is evaluating the purchase of a new cruise ship. The ship will cost $ 495 million and will operate for 20 years. OpenSeas expects annual cash flows from operating the ship to be $ 69.8 million and its cost of capital is 12.1 %. a. Prepare an NPV profile of the purchase. b. Identify the IRR on the graph. c. Should OpenSeas go ahead with the purchase? d. How far off could OpenSeas's cost of capital estimate be before your purchase decision would change? a. Prepare an NPV profile of the purchase. To plot the NPV profile, we compute the NPV of the project for various discount rates and plot the curve. The NPV for a discount rate of 2.0 % is $ nothing million.
We first chalk out the cash flows and then calculate NPV and IRR using 'NPV' and 'IRR' functions.
NPV = NPV(Discount rate,Cash flow column) - Initial investment
IRR= IRR( Cash flow column)
NPV | IRR | |||
Year | Cash flows | Discount rate ( Cost of capital) | NPV(Discount rate,$B$5:$B$24)+$B$4 | IRR($B$4:$B$24) |
0 | -495000000 | 0% | $901,000,000.00 | 12.84% |
1 | 69800000 | 1% | $764,579,597.05 | 12.84% |
2 | 69800000 | 2% | $646,330,047.45 | 12.84% |
3 | 69800000 | 3% | $543,447,745.26 | 12.84% |
4 | 69800000 | 4% | $453,604,778.88 | 12.84% |
5 | 69800000 | 5% | $374,862,281.91 | 12.84% |
6 | 69800000 | 6% | $305,600,501.06 | 12.84% |
7 | 69800000 | 7% | $244,462,194.34 | 12.84% |
8 | 69800000 | 8% | $190,306,689.04 | 12.84% |
9 | 69800000 | 9% | $142,172,487.70 | 12.84% |
10 | 69800000 | 10% | $99,246,747.64 | 12.84% |
11 | 69800000 | 11% | $60,840,302.59 | 12.84% |
12 | 69800000 | 12% | $26,367,164.98 | 12.84% |
13 | 69800000 | 13% | ($4,672,339.85) | 12.84% |
14 | 69800000 | 14% | ($32,705,487.50) | 12.84% |
15 | 69800000 | 15% | ($58,098,663.13) | 12.84% |
16 | 69800000 | 16% | ($81,166,905.21) | 12.84% |
17 | 69800000 | 17% | ($102,181,839.93) | 12.84% |
18 | 69800000 | 18% | ($121,378,294.50) | 12.84% |
19 | 69800000 | 19% | ($138,959,822.92) | 12.84% |
20 | 69800000 | 20% | ($155,103,334.60) | 12.84% |
a) NPV profile
b) IRR on the NPV profile
c) Yes, Open seas should go ahead with the purchase as the project has a positive NPV and has an IRR greater than the cost of capital.
d) Using the graph, find the discount rate at which NPV=0. This gives us Rate = 12.842%.
Hence OpenSeas's cost of capital could be at a maximum, lesser than 12.84% before your purchase decision would change.
e) Using the discount rate and NPV table, The NPV for a discount rate of 2.0 % is $646.33 million.