In: Finance
OpenSeas, Inc. is evaluating the purchase of a new cruise ship. The ship would cost
$ 496$496
million, but would operate for
2020
years. OpenSeas expects annual cash flows from operating the ship to be
$ 68.6$68.6
million (at the end of each year) and its cost of capital is 11.7 %11.7%
a. Prepare an NPV profile of the purchase using discount rates of
2.0 %2.0%,
11.5 %11.5%
and
17.0 %17.0%.
b. Identify the IRR (to the nearest 1%) on a graph.
c. Is the purchase attractive based on these estimates?
d. How far off could OpenSeas? cost of capital be (to the nearest 1%) before your purchase decision would change?
Note:
Subtract the discount rate from the actual IRR. Use Excel to compute the actual IRR.
1) Calculation of NPV wit 2% discount rate
| Fig in $ Millions | |||
| Year | CF | DF (2%) | PV of cashflow (DF*CF) |
| 0 | -496 | 1 | -496 |
| 1 | 68.6 | 0.980 | 67 |
| 2 | 68.6 | 0.961 | 66 |
| 3 | 68.6 | 0.942 | 65 |
| 4 | 68.6 | 0.924 | 63 |
| 5 | 68.6 | 0.906 | 62 |
| 6 | 68.6 | 0.888 | 61 |
| 7 | 68.6 | 0.871 | 60 |
| 8 | 68.6 | 0.853 | 59 |
| 9 | 68.6 | 0.837 | 57 |
| 10 | 68.6 | 0.820 | 56 |
| 11 | 68.6 | 0.804 | 55 |
| 12 | 68.6 | 0.788 | 54 |
| 13 | 68.6 | 0.773 | 53 |
| 14 | 68.6 | 0.758 | 52 |
| 15 | 68.6 | 0.743 | 51 |
| 16 | 68.6 | 0.728 | 50 |
| 17 | 68.6 | 0.714 | 49 |
| 18 | 68.6 | 0.700 | 48 |
| 19 | 68.6 | 0.686 | 47 |
| 20 | 68.6 | 0.673 | 46 |
| NPV (Sum of PVs) | 626 | ||
Calculation with 11.5% Discount rate
| Fig in $ Millions | |||
| Year | CF | DF (11.5%) | PV of cashflow (DF*CF) |
| 0 | -496 | 1 | -496 |
| 1 | 68.6 | 0.897 | 62 |
| 2 | 68.6 | 0.804 | 55 |
| 3 | 68.6 | 0.721 | 49 |
| 4 | 68.6 | 0.647 | 44 |
| 5 | 68.6 | 0.580 | 40 |
| 6 | 68.6 | 0.520 | 36 |
| 7 | 68.6 | 0.467 | 32 |
| 8 | 68.6 | 0.419 | 29 |
| 9 | 68.6 | 0.375 | 26 |
| 10 | 68.6 | 0.337 | 23 |
| 11 | 68.6 | 0.302 | 21 |
| 12 | 68.6 | 0.271 | 19 |
| 13 | 68.6 | 0.243 | 17 |
| 14 | 68.6 | 0.218 | 15 |
| 15 | 68.6 | 0.195 | 13 |
| 16 | 68.6 | 0.175 | 12 |
| 17 | 68.6 | 0.157 | 11 |
| 18 | 68.6 | 0.141 | 10 |
| 19 | 68.6 | 0.126 | 9 |
| 20 | 68.6 | 0.113 | 8 |
| NPV (Sum of PVs) | 33 | ||
NPV with 17% discount rate
| Fig in $ Millions | |||
| Year | CF | DF (11.5%) | PV of cashflow (DF*CF) |
| 0 | -496 | 1 | -496 |
| 1 | 68.6 | 0.855 | 59 |
| 2 | 68.6 | 0.731 | 50 |
| 3 | 68.6 | 0.624 | 43 |
| 4 | 68.6 | 0.534 | 37 |
| 5 | 68.6 | 0.456 | 31 |
| 6 | 68.6 | 0.390 | 27 |
| 7 | 68.6 | 0.333 | 23 |
| 8 | 68.6 | 0.285 | 20 |
| 9 | 68.6 | 0.243 | 17 |
| 10 | 68.6 | 0.208 | 14 |
| 11 | 68.6 | 0.178 | 12 |
| 12 | 68.6 | 0.152 | 10 |
| 13 | 68.6 | 0.130 | 9 |
| 14 | 68.6 | 0.111 | 8 |
| 15 | 68.6 | 0.095 | 7 |
| 16 | 68.6 | 0.081 | 6 |
| 17 | 68.6 | 0.069 | 5 |
| 18 | 68.6 | 0.059 | 4 |
| 19 | 68.6 | 0.051 | 3 |
| 20 | 68.6 | 0.043 | 3 |
| NPV (Sum of PVs) | -110 | ||
b)
IRR comes to be 13%
hence when discounted at 2% and 11.5% that is when discount rate is less than IRR then the project seems attractive
c) open seas can pay cost of capital upto its IRR which is 13%