In: Statistics and Probability
CAT Construction has been awarded a contract with the City of Newberg to replace and repair all of the sidewalks in the older residential areas. Based on experience with previous projects, CAT feels the project completion time follows a normal distribution with a mean of 60 days and a standard deviation of 10 days.
CAT anticipates the net profit for completing the project is $100,000.
If the company completes the project is less than 40 days, it will receive an additional $25,000 bonus.
If the company takes longer than 75 days to complete the project, the City will penalize CAT $20,000.
Use the 4 decimal probabilities when using the z-tables.
CAT's expected profit on the project is:
A.$100,000
B.$101,214
C.$99,234
D.$90,274
Solution: The correct option is:
C. $99,234
Explanation:
The amount of $100,000 is certain for the company if they complete the project.
We are given that if the company completes the project is less than 40 days, it will receive an additional $25,000 bonus.
The z-score for the number of days less than 40 is:
Using the standard normal table, we have:
Therefore, the expected bonus amount if the project is completed in less than 40 days is:
We are also given that if the company takes longer than 75 days to complete theproject, the City will penalize CAT $20,000.
The z-score for the number of days greater than 75 is:
Using the standard normal table, we have:
Therefore, the expected penalty amount if the project is completed in greater than 75 days is:
Therefore, the CAT's expected profit on the project isCAT's expected profit on the project is: