In: Statistics and Probability
Los records pasados de un supermercado demuestran que
sus clientes gastan un promedio de $65 por visita. Recientemente la
gerencia inició una campaña promocional en la que cada cliente
recibe puntos basado en el total de su compra y estos puntos se
pueden usar para comprar artículos en la tienda. La gerencia
espera, como resultado de esta campaña, que los clientes compren
más. Para verificar si la campaña funcionó, el gerente toma una
muestra de 12 clientes. Los siguientes son los totales de sus
compras:
$88 69
141 35 106
45 32 51
78 54 110
83
Asuma que la distribución del total de las compras es aproximadamente Normal. Utilizando un nivel de significancia de 5%, ¿cree usted que la campaña promocional funcionó?
The past records of a supermarket demonstrated that
their clients spend a mean of $65 per visit. Recently the manager
started a promotional campaign in which each client receives points
based on the total of their purchases and these points can be used
to buy products in the store. The manager expects, as a result of
this campaign, for clients to spend more. To verify that the
campaign was successful, the manager takes a sample of 12 clients.
The following are the total of their purchases:
$88 69
141 35 106
45 32 51
78 54 110
83
Assume that the distribution of the total of the
purchases is approximately Normal. Using a level of significance of 5%, do you
believe the promotion campaign worked?
The data is provided as:
Data | |
88 | |
69 | |
141 | |
35 | |
106 | |
45 | |
32 | |
51 | |
78 | |
54 | |
110 | |
83 | |
Count | 12 |
Mean | 74.3333 |
SD | 33.2766 |
(1) Null and Alternative Hypotheses
The following null and alternative hypotheses need to be tested:
Ho: μ = 65
Ha: μ > 65
This corresponds to a right-tailed test, for which a t-test for one mean, with unknown population standard deviation, will be used.
(2) Rejection Region
Based on the information provided, the significance level is α=0.05, and the critical value for a right-tailed test is tc=1.796.
The rejection region for this right-tailed test is
(3) Test Statistics
The t-statistic is computed as follows:
(4) The decision about the null hypothesis
Since it is observed that t=0.972≤tc=1.796, it is then concluded that the null hypothesis is not rejected.
Using the P-value approach: The p-value is p=0.1761, and since p=0.1761≥0.05, it is concluded that the null hypothesis is not rejected.
(5) Conclusion
It is concluded that the null hypothesis Ho is not rejected. Therefore, there is not enough evidence to claim that the population mean μ is greater than 65, at the 0.05 significance level. Hence the promotion campaign was not successful.
Graphically
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