In: Statistics and Probability
a) WHO is examining the improvement in life expectancy in an underdeveloped country. Historical data for the population shows a population mean life expectancy of 58.3 years, and with a population standard deviation of 4.52 years. A recent sample of 75 people produced a sample mean of 60.8 years and a sample standard deviation of 2.84 years. Evaluate H0: μ ≤ 58.3 and HA: μ > 58.3 at a .01 level of significance.
b) A medical research team at the Johns Hopkins University is
investigating the effectiveness of a new medical treatment for a
rare disease. Data indicates that under the current treatment,
patients have a mean white blood cell count of 22 cells/cc (cubic
centimeter). This distribution is understood to be normally
distributed, but the population standard deviation is not known.
The new treatment will only be deemed effective if it significantly
increases the patient’s white blood cell count above 22
cells/cc.
The team has applied the treatment to
a random sample of 10 patients. They have reported the following
blood cell counts: 21, 25, 18, 24, 19, 25, 22, 20, 27,
24.
At α = .01, is the new treatment effective?
a)
Let μ be the population mean life expectancy
Hypotheses Statements are
Ho: μ ≤ 58.3
Ha: μ > 58.3
Test statistics (z value as population sigma is given)
p-value
For the test statistic, z = 4.79 and right-tailed test, the p-value is 0
Decision Rule
If the p-value is less than alpha (0.01), we reject the null. Here p-value is less than alpha, So we reject the null
Conclusion
There is statistical evidence to conclude that mean life expectancy is greater than 58.3 years
b)
Need to find mean and SD of the sample
X | X2 | |
21 | 441 | |
25 | 625 | |
18 | 324 | |
24 | 576 | |
19 | 361 | |
25 | 625 | |
22 | 484 | |
20 | 400 | |
27 | 729 | |
24 | 576 | |
Sum = | 225 | 5141 |
Mean of the sample is given by
Variance is given by
Standard deviation is then
Let μ be the mean white blood cell count
Hypotheses Statements are
Ho: μ ≤ 22
Ha: μ > 22
Test statistics (t value as population sigma is not given)
p-value
For the test statistic, t = 0.535 and right-tailed test, and degree of freedom = 9(10-1), p-value = 0.3027
Decision Rule
If the p-value is less than alpha (0.01), we reject the null.
Here p-value is greater than alpha, So we fail to reject the null
Conclusion
There is statistical evidence to conclude that new treatment is not effective
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