In: Statistics and Probability
How to do survival analysis in excel with this data
Life expectancy of males in years from 2005 to 2015
| Country | 2005, LE-M (years) | 2015, LE-M (years) |
| Afghanistan | 55.8 | 61.1 |
| Albania | 72.3 | 75.6 |
| Algeria | 70.1 | 74.1 |
| Angola | 47.5 | 57.4 |
| Antigua and Barbuda | 71.5 | 73.3 |
| Argentina | 70.6 | 72.2 |
| Armenia | 69.1 | 70.6 |
| Aruba | 71.5 | 72.9 |
| Australia | 77.8 | 80.2 |
| Austria | 75.9 | 78.4 |
| Azerbaijan | 64.6 | 68.6 |
| Bahamas | 70 | 72 |
| Bahrain | 74.2 | 75.6 |
| Bangladesh | 66.2 | 69.8 |
| Barbados | 71.4 | 72.9 |
| Belarus | 62.3 | 66.5 |
| Belgium | 75.3 | 78 |
| Belize | 65.7 | 67.2 |
| Benin | 54.6 | 58.5 |
| Bhutan | 62.7 | 68.6 |
| Bolivia (Plurin. State of) | 60.1 | 65.3 |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 72 | 73.7 |
| Botswana | 47.3 | 59.8 |
| Brazil | 67.3 | 71 |
| Brunei Darussalam | 74.2 | 75.1 |
| Bulgaria | 68.8 | 70.8 |
| Burkina Faso | 50.5 | 58 |
| Burundi | 50.3 | 54.2 |
| Cabo Verde | 69.5 | 70.1 |
| Cambodia | 58.5 | 65.5 |
| Cameroon | 50.6 | 55.1 |
| Canada | 77.2 | 79.7 |
| Central African Republic | 42.5 | 47.8 |
| Chad | 46.8 | 50.5 |
| Channel Islands | 76 | 78.7 |
| Chile | 74.3 | 76.2 |
| China | 71.7 | 74.2 |
| China, Hong Kong SAR | 78.5 | 80.5 |
| China, Macao SAR | 78.2 | 80.3 |
| Colombia | 68 | 70.2 |
| Comoros | 58 | 61.2 |
| Congo | 51.1 | 61 |
| Costa Rica | 75.5 | 76.7 |
| Côte d'Ivoire | 45.9 | 50.4 |
| Croatia | 71.4 | 73.6 |
| Cuba | 75.3 | 77.1 |
| Curaçao | 71.2 | 74.5 |
| Cyprus | 76.3 | 77.7 |
| Czechia | 72.2 | 75.1 |
| Dem. People's Rep. Korea | 64.2 | 67.2 |
| Dem. Rep. of the Congo | 50.4 | 56.7 |
| Denmark | 75 | 78.1 |
| Djibouti | 55.9 | 60 |
| Dominican Republic | 68.1 | 70.2 |
| Ecuador | 70.7 | 72.8 |
| Egypt | 66.7 | 68.7 |
| El Salvador | 65 | 67.9 |
| Equatorial Guinea | 52.3 | 55.5 |
| Eritrea | 54.7 | 61.4 |
| Estonia | 66 | 71.9 |
| Ethiopia | 52.3 | 61.9 |
| Fiji | 65.5 | 66.9 |
| Finland | 74.9 | 77.7 |
| France | 75.8 | 78.8 |
| French Guiana | 72.8 | 76.1 |
| French Polynesia | 70.7 | 74 |
| Gabon | 58.3 | 63.1 |
| Gambia | 55.9 | 59.1 |
| Georgia | 68.9 | 68.5 |
| Germany | 75.6 | 77.9 |
| Ghana | 56.7 | 60.7 |
| Greece | 76.4 | 78 |
| Grenada | 68.5 | 70.8 |
| Guadeloupe | 74.3 | 76.8 |
| Guam | 73.6 | 76.4 |
| Guatemala | 65.7 | 69.2 |
| Guinea | 51.3 | 57.5 |
| Guinea-Bissau | 52 | 54.3 |
| Guyana | 62.6 | 64 |
| Haiti | 56.5 | 60.2 |
| Honduras | 68.6 | 70.4 |
| Hungary | 68.3 | 71.7 |
| Iceland | 78.8 | 80.6 |
| India | 62.7 | 66.2 |
| Indonesia | 64.9 | 66.6 |
| Iran (Islamic Republic of) | 70 | 74 |
| Iraq | 66.9 | 67 |
| Ireland | 75.3 | 78.7 |
| Israel | 77.4 | 80 |
| Italy | 77.3 | 79.9 |
| Jamaica | 70.1 | 73.1 |
| Japan | 78.3 | 80 |
| Jordan | 70.8 | 72.2 |
| Kazakhstan | 59.1 | 64.3 |
| Kenya | 51 | 63 |
| Kiribati | 61.6 | 62.4 |
| Kuwait | 72.6 | 73.5 |
| Kyrgyzstan | 63 | 66.4 |
| Lao People's Dem. Rep. | 59 | 63.9 |
| Latvia | 65.2 | 68.8 |
| Lebanon | 73.9 | 77.3 |
| Lesotho | 44.7 | 50.1 |
| Liberia | 51.6 | 59.8 |
| Libya | 69.1 | 68.8 |
| Lithuania | 65.7 | 68.5 |
| Luxembourg | 75.1 | 78.8 |
| Madagascar | 58.8 | 63 |
| Malawi | 45.7 | 58.2 |
| Malaysia | 71.2 | 72.6 |
| Maldives | 71.1 | 75.4 |
| Mali | 49.3 | 55.6 |
| Malta | 76.8 | 78.6 |
| Martinique | 75.5 | 77.8 |
| Mauritania | 58.6 | 61.2 |
| Mauritius | 68.9 | 70.7 |
| Mayotte | 73 | 76 |
| Mexico | 72.4 | 74 |
| Micronesia (Fed. States of) | 66.9 | 67.7 |
| Mongolia | 60.8 | 64.5 |
| Montenegro | 70.6 | 74 |
| Morocco | 68.5 | 73.7 |
| Mozambique | 47.9 | 54 |
| Myanmar | 60.9 | 63.7 |
| Namibia | 51.7 | 59.1 |
| Nepal | 62.9 | 67.4 |
| Netherlands | 76.2 | 79.4 |
| New Caledonia | 71.3 | 73.7 |
| New Zealand | 76.8 | 79.5 |
| Nicaragua | 68 | 71.4 |
| Niger | 50.8 | 57.6 |
| Nigeria | 46.1 | 51.2 |
| Norway | 76.8 | 79.5 |
| Oman | 71.4 | 74.5 |
| Pakistan | 62.5 | 65 |
| Palau | 66.3 | 68.1 |
| Panama | 73 | 74.3 |
| Papua New Guinea | 60.3 | 62.6 |
| Paraguay | 68.7 | 70.7 |
| Peru | 69 | 71.5 |
| Philippines | 64.4 | 65.4 |
| Poland | 70.4 | 72.9 |
| Portugal | 74.1 | 77.3 |
| Puerto Rico | 72.7 | 75.2 |
| Qatar | 75.6 | 76.9 |
| Republic of Korea | 73.6 | 77.9 |
| Republic of Moldova | 63.6 | 66.7 |
| Réunion | 73 | 76 |
| Romania | 67.9 | 71.4 |
| Russian Federation | 58.6 | 64.7 |
| Rwanda | 49.6 | 63.1 |
| Saint Lucia | 70.1 | 72.2 |
| Saint Vincent & Grenadines | 68.3 | 70.7 |
| Samoa | 67.2 | 71.1 |
| Sao Tome and Principe | 62 | 64.1 |
| Saudi Arabia | 71.5 | 72.7 |
| Senegal | 57.3 | 63.8 |
| Serbia | 69.4 | 71.8 |
| Seychelles | 67.9 | 68.7 |
| Sierra Leone | 40.1 | 49.7 |
| Singapore | 76.7 | 80.1 |
| Slovakia | 69.8 | 72.7 |
| Slovenia | 72.8 | 77.3 |
| Solomon Islands | 63.5 | 68.3 |
| Somalia | 50 | 53.3 |
| South Africa | 51.2 | 56.1 |
| South Sudan | 49.1 | 54.1 |
| Spain | 76.5 | 79.6 |
| Sri Lanka | 69.6 | 71.2 |
| State of Palestine | 69.5 | 71.1 |
| Sudan | 57.5 | 62.1 |
| Suriname | 64.8 | 67.8 |
| Swaziland | 44.2 | 51.6 |
| Sweden | 77.9 | 80 |
| Switzerland | 77.7 | 80.5 |
| Syrian Arab Republic | 71.4 | 64.4 |
| Tajikistan | 63.6 | 67.7 |
| TFYR of Macedonia | 71.3 | 73.2 |
| Thailand | 67.7 | 70.8 |
| Timor-Leste | 60 | 66.1 |
| Togo | 53 | 58.3 |
| Tonga | 68.8 | 69.6 |
| Trinidad and Tobago | 65.1 | 66.9 |
| Tunisia | 71.4 | 73 |
| Turkey | 68 | 71.5 |
| Turkmenistan | 60.3 | 63.9 |
| Uganda | 47.8 | 56.5 |
| Ukraine | 61.9 | 66.1 |
| United Arab Emirates | 74.1 | 76 |
| United Kingdom | 76.1 | 79 |
| United Rep. of Tanzania | 52 | 60.8 |
| United States of America | 74.5 | 76.5 |
| United States Virgin Islands | 74.9 | 76.7 |
| Uruguay | 71.6 | 73.3 |
| Uzbekistan | 64.5 | 68.1 |
| Vanuatu | 66.7 | 69.4 |
| Venezuela (Boliv. Rep. of) | 68.8 | 69.9 |
| Viet Nam | 68.9 | 70.7 |
| Western Sahara | 62.3 | 66.9 |
| Yemen | 59.7 | 62.8 |
| Zambia | 45.3 | 57.5 |
| Zimbabwe | 42.7 | 56.1 |
The mean, std deviation and no. of sample data points for 2005 and 2015 survival data given, are as follows:
| 2005 | 2015 | |
| Mean | 65.35224 | 68.86468 |
| Std dev | 9.453434 | 7.873728 |
| n | 201 | 201 |
Looking at the mean survival years for 2005 and 2015, we see that the mean survival rate seems to have increase from 2005->2015. As we do not know the population std deviations, let's do 2 sample paired (right tailed) T-test to test the hypotheses:
H0: μ1 - μ2 <= 0
Ha: μ1 - μ2 > 0
where μ1 is the mean population survival rate for 2005 and μ2 is the mean population survival rate for 2015.
Now, assuming we do the test at 5% significance level,
T-statistic, t = [ (
-
) - d ] /
sqrt[(s1^2/n1) + (s2^2/n2)]
= -4.048
Now, right-tailed critical T-score at alpha = 0.05 and df = 201+201-2 = 400,
T-critical, T0.05, 400 = -1.649
Since | t | > | T-critical |, we reject the null hypothesis at the 5% significance level. Hence, the mean survival years indeed seem to have statistically increased from 2005->2015.