In: Statistics and Probability
How to do survival analysis in excel with this data
Life expectancy of males in years from 2005 to 2015
Country | 2005, LE-M (years) | 2015, LE-M (years) |
Afghanistan | 55.8 | 61.1 |
Albania | 72.3 | 75.6 |
Algeria | 70.1 | 74.1 |
Angola | 47.5 | 57.4 |
Antigua and Barbuda | 71.5 | 73.3 |
Argentina | 70.6 | 72.2 |
Armenia | 69.1 | 70.6 |
Aruba | 71.5 | 72.9 |
Australia | 77.8 | 80.2 |
Austria | 75.9 | 78.4 |
Azerbaijan | 64.6 | 68.6 |
Bahamas | 70 | 72 |
Bahrain | 74.2 | 75.6 |
Bangladesh | 66.2 | 69.8 |
Barbados | 71.4 | 72.9 |
Belarus | 62.3 | 66.5 |
Belgium | 75.3 | 78 |
Belize | 65.7 | 67.2 |
Benin | 54.6 | 58.5 |
Bhutan | 62.7 | 68.6 |
Bolivia (Plurin. State of) | 60.1 | 65.3 |
Bosnia and Herzegovina | 72 | 73.7 |
Botswana | 47.3 | 59.8 |
Brazil | 67.3 | 71 |
Brunei Darussalam | 74.2 | 75.1 |
Bulgaria | 68.8 | 70.8 |
Burkina Faso | 50.5 | 58 |
Burundi | 50.3 | 54.2 |
Cabo Verde | 69.5 | 70.1 |
Cambodia | 58.5 | 65.5 |
Cameroon | 50.6 | 55.1 |
Canada | 77.2 | 79.7 |
Central African Republic | 42.5 | 47.8 |
Chad | 46.8 | 50.5 |
Channel Islands | 76 | 78.7 |
Chile | 74.3 | 76.2 |
China | 71.7 | 74.2 |
China, Hong Kong SAR | 78.5 | 80.5 |
China, Macao SAR | 78.2 | 80.3 |
Colombia | 68 | 70.2 |
Comoros | 58 | 61.2 |
Congo | 51.1 | 61 |
Costa Rica | 75.5 | 76.7 |
Côte d'Ivoire | 45.9 | 50.4 |
Croatia | 71.4 | 73.6 |
Cuba | 75.3 | 77.1 |
Curaçao | 71.2 | 74.5 |
Cyprus | 76.3 | 77.7 |
Czechia | 72.2 | 75.1 |
Dem. People's Rep. Korea | 64.2 | 67.2 |
Dem. Rep. of the Congo | 50.4 | 56.7 |
Denmark | 75 | 78.1 |
Djibouti | 55.9 | 60 |
Dominican Republic | 68.1 | 70.2 |
Ecuador | 70.7 | 72.8 |
Egypt | 66.7 | 68.7 |
El Salvador | 65 | 67.9 |
Equatorial Guinea | 52.3 | 55.5 |
Eritrea | 54.7 | 61.4 |
Estonia | 66 | 71.9 |
Ethiopia | 52.3 | 61.9 |
Fiji | 65.5 | 66.9 |
Finland | 74.9 | 77.7 |
France | 75.8 | 78.8 |
French Guiana | 72.8 | 76.1 |
French Polynesia | 70.7 | 74 |
Gabon | 58.3 | 63.1 |
Gambia | 55.9 | 59.1 |
Georgia | 68.9 | 68.5 |
Germany | 75.6 | 77.9 |
Ghana | 56.7 | 60.7 |
Greece | 76.4 | 78 |
Grenada | 68.5 | 70.8 |
Guadeloupe | 74.3 | 76.8 |
Guam | 73.6 | 76.4 |
Guatemala | 65.7 | 69.2 |
Guinea | 51.3 | 57.5 |
Guinea-Bissau | 52 | 54.3 |
Guyana | 62.6 | 64 |
Haiti | 56.5 | 60.2 |
Honduras | 68.6 | 70.4 |
Hungary | 68.3 | 71.7 |
Iceland | 78.8 | 80.6 |
India | 62.7 | 66.2 |
Indonesia | 64.9 | 66.6 |
Iran (Islamic Republic of) | 70 | 74 |
Iraq | 66.9 | 67 |
Ireland | 75.3 | 78.7 |
Israel | 77.4 | 80 |
Italy | 77.3 | 79.9 |
Jamaica | 70.1 | 73.1 |
Japan | 78.3 | 80 |
Jordan | 70.8 | 72.2 |
Kazakhstan | 59.1 | 64.3 |
Kenya | 51 | 63 |
Kiribati | 61.6 | 62.4 |
Kuwait | 72.6 | 73.5 |
Kyrgyzstan | 63 | 66.4 |
Lao People's Dem. Rep. | 59 | 63.9 |
Latvia | 65.2 | 68.8 |
Lebanon | 73.9 | 77.3 |
Lesotho | 44.7 | 50.1 |
Liberia | 51.6 | 59.8 |
Libya | 69.1 | 68.8 |
Lithuania | 65.7 | 68.5 |
Luxembourg | 75.1 | 78.8 |
Madagascar | 58.8 | 63 |
Malawi | 45.7 | 58.2 |
Malaysia | 71.2 | 72.6 |
Maldives | 71.1 | 75.4 |
Mali | 49.3 | 55.6 |
Malta | 76.8 | 78.6 |
Martinique | 75.5 | 77.8 |
Mauritania | 58.6 | 61.2 |
Mauritius | 68.9 | 70.7 |
Mayotte | 73 | 76 |
Mexico | 72.4 | 74 |
Micronesia (Fed. States of) | 66.9 | 67.7 |
Mongolia | 60.8 | 64.5 |
Montenegro | 70.6 | 74 |
Morocco | 68.5 | 73.7 |
Mozambique | 47.9 | 54 |
Myanmar | 60.9 | 63.7 |
Namibia | 51.7 | 59.1 |
Nepal | 62.9 | 67.4 |
Netherlands | 76.2 | 79.4 |
New Caledonia | 71.3 | 73.7 |
New Zealand | 76.8 | 79.5 |
Nicaragua | 68 | 71.4 |
Niger | 50.8 | 57.6 |
Nigeria | 46.1 | 51.2 |
Norway | 76.8 | 79.5 |
Oman | 71.4 | 74.5 |
Pakistan | 62.5 | 65 |
Palau | 66.3 | 68.1 |
Panama | 73 | 74.3 |
Papua New Guinea | 60.3 | 62.6 |
Paraguay | 68.7 | 70.7 |
Peru | 69 | 71.5 |
Philippines | 64.4 | 65.4 |
Poland | 70.4 | 72.9 |
Portugal | 74.1 | 77.3 |
Puerto Rico | 72.7 | 75.2 |
Qatar | 75.6 | 76.9 |
Republic of Korea | 73.6 | 77.9 |
Republic of Moldova | 63.6 | 66.7 |
Réunion | 73 | 76 |
Romania | 67.9 | 71.4 |
Russian Federation | 58.6 | 64.7 |
Rwanda | 49.6 | 63.1 |
Saint Lucia | 70.1 | 72.2 |
Saint Vincent & Grenadines | 68.3 | 70.7 |
Samoa | 67.2 | 71.1 |
Sao Tome and Principe | 62 | 64.1 |
Saudi Arabia | 71.5 | 72.7 |
Senegal | 57.3 | 63.8 |
Serbia | 69.4 | 71.8 |
Seychelles | 67.9 | 68.7 |
Sierra Leone | 40.1 | 49.7 |
Singapore | 76.7 | 80.1 |
Slovakia | 69.8 | 72.7 |
Slovenia | 72.8 | 77.3 |
Solomon Islands | 63.5 | 68.3 |
Somalia | 50 | 53.3 |
South Africa | 51.2 | 56.1 |
South Sudan | 49.1 | 54.1 |
Spain | 76.5 | 79.6 |
Sri Lanka | 69.6 | 71.2 |
State of Palestine | 69.5 | 71.1 |
Sudan | 57.5 | 62.1 |
Suriname | 64.8 | 67.8 |
Swaziland | 44.2 | 51.6 |
Sweden | 77.9 | 80 |
Switzerland | 77.7 | 80.5 |
Syrian Arab Republic | 71.4 | 64.4 |
Tajikistan | 63.6 | 67.7 |
TFYR of Macedonia | 71.3 | 73.2 |
Thailand | 67.7 | 70.8 |
Timor-Leste | 60 | 66.1 |
Togo | 53 | 58.3 |
Tonga | 68.8 | 69.6 |
Trinidad and Tobago | 65.1 | 66.9 |
Tunisia | 71.4 | 73 |
Turkey | 68 | 71.5 |
Turkmenistan | 60.3 | 63.9 |
Uganda | 47.8 | 56.5 |
Ukraine | 61.9 | 66.1 |
United Arab Emirates | 74.1 | 76 |
United Kingdom | 76.1 | 79 |
United Rep. of Tanzania | 52 | 60.8 |
United States of America | 74.5 | 76.5 |
United States Virgin Islands | 74.9 | 76.7 |
Uruguay | 71.6 | 73.3 |
Uzbekistan | 64.5 | 68.1 |
Vanuatu | 66.7 | 69.4 |
Venezuela (Boliv. Rep. of) | 68.8 | 69.9 |
Viet Nam | 68.9 | 70.7 |
Western Sahara | 62.3 | 66.9 |
Yemen | 59.7 | 62.8 |
Zambia | 45.3 | 57.5 |
Zimbabwe | 42.7 | 56.1 |
The mean, std deviation and no. of sample data points for 2005 and 2015 survival data given, are as follows:
2005 | 2015 | |
Mean | 65.35224 | 68.86468 |
Std dev | 9.453434 | 7.873728 |
n | 201 | 201 |
Looking at the mean survival years for 2005 and 2015, we see that the mean survival rate seems to have increase from 2005->2015. As we do not know the population std deviations, let's do 2 sample paired (right tailed) T-test to test the hypotheses:
H0: μ1 - μ2 <= 0
Ha: μ1 - μ2 > 0
where μ1 is the mean population survival rate for 2005 and μ2 is the mean population survival rate for 2015.
Now, assuming we do the test at 5% significance level,
T-statistic, t = [ ( - ) - d ] / sqrt[(s1^2/n1) + (s2^2/n2)]
= -4.048
Now, right-tailed critical T-score at alpha = 0.05 and df = 201+201-2 = 400,
T-critical, T0.05, 400 = -1.649
Since | t | > | T-critical |, we reject the null hypothesis at the 5% significance level. Hence, the mean survival years indeed seem to have statistically increased from 2005->2015.