In: Statistics and Probability
How to do survival analysis in excel with this data
Life expectancy of females in years from 2005 to 2015
| Country | 2005, LE-F(years) | 2015, LE-F(years) |
| Afghanistan | 58.1 | 63.5 |
| Albania | 77.8 | 79.9 |
| Algeria | 72.9 | 76.5 |
| Angola | 52.5 | 63 |
| Antigua and Barbuda | 76.4 | 78.2 |
| Argentina | 78.1 | 79.8 |
| Armenia | 75.3 | 77 |
| Aruba | 76.4 | 77.8 |
| Australia | 82.8 | 84.4 |
| Austria | 81.7 | 83.5 |
| Azerbaijan | 70.3 | 74.6 |
| Bahamas | 76.2 | 78.1 |
| Bahrain | 75.9 | 77.5 |
| Bangladesh | 67.3 | 72.9 |
| Barbados | 76 | 77.7 |
| Belarus | 73.7 | 77.7 |
| Belgium | 81.4 | 83 |
| Belize | 71.6 | 72.7 |
| Benin | 57.7 | 61.4 |
| Bhutan | 63.1 | 68.9 |
| Bolivia (Plurin. State of) | 64.3 | 70.2 |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 77.5 | 78.8 |
| Botswana | 51 | 66.1 |
| Brazil | 75 | 78.4 |
| Brunei Darussalam | 77.5 | 78.4 |
| Bulgaria | 75.8 | 77.8 |
| Burkina Faso | 52.6 | 59.3 |
| Burundi | 53.7 | 58 |
| Cabo Verde | 72.8 | 74 |
| Cambodia | 63 | 69.6 |
| Cameroon | 52.3 | 57.7 |
| Canada | 82.1 | 83.8 |
| Central African Republic | 44.9 | 51 |
| Chad | 48.5 | 52.8 |
| Channel Islands | 80.5 | 82.4 |
| Chile | 80.3 | 81.3 |
| China | 74.7 | 77.2 |
| China, Hong Kong SAR | 84.5 | 86.4 |
| China, Macao SAR | 83.6 | 86.2 |
| Colombia | 75.4 | 77.4 |
| Comoros | 61.2 | 64.5 |
| Congo | 53.1 | 64.1 |
| Costa Rica | 80.2 | 81.7 |
| Côte d'Ivoire | 47.6 | 53.2 |
| Croatia | 78.4 | 80.4 |
| Cuba | 79.1 | 81.3 |
| Curaçao | 78.6 | 80.7 |
| Cyprus | 80.5 | 82.2 |
| Czechia | 78.8 | 81.2 |
| Dem. People's Rep. Korea | 71.5 | 74.1 |
| Dem. Rep. of the Congo | 53.3 | 59.5 |
| Denmark | 79.6 | 82.2 |
| Djibouti | 58.8 | 63.2 |
| Dominican Republic | 74.4 | 76.5 |
| Ecuador | 76.8 | 78.4 |
| Egypt | 71.4 | 73.1 |
| El Salvador | 74.1 | 77.1 |
| Equatorial Guinea | 54.9 | 58.4 |
| Eritrea | 58.8 | 65.6 |
| Estonia | 77.1 | 81.2 |
| Ethiopia | 55 | 65.5 |
| Fiji | 70.7 | 72.9 |
| Finland | 81.7 | 83.7 |
| France | 83.1 | 85 |
| French Guiana | 80.1 | 82.6 |
| French Polynesia | 76.1 | 78.6 |
| Gabon | 59.8 | 65.8 |
| Gambia | 58.1 | 61.6 |
| Georgia | 76.1 | 77 |
| Germany | 81.5 | 82.9 |
| Ghana | 58.3 | 62.6 |
| Greece | 81.9 | 83.3 |
| Grenada | 73.2 | 75.6 |
| Guadeloupe | 81.4 | 84 |
| Guam | 78.5 | 81.5 |
| Guatemala | 72.1 | 75.6 |
| Guinea | 51.3 | 58.4 |
| Guinea-Bissau | 53.3 | 57.7 |
| Guyana | 68.1 | 68.6 |
| Haiti | 60.1 | 64.4 |
| Honduras | 73.4 | 75.4 |
| Hungary | 76.7 | 78.9 |
| Iceland | 82.6 | 83.8 |
| India | 64.4 | 69.1 |
| Indonesia | 68.5 | 70.7 |
| Iran (Islamic Republic of) | 72.3 | 76.2 |
| Iraq | 71 | 71.4 |
| Ireland | 80.4 | 83 |
| Israel | 81.6 | 83.7 |
| Italy | 83.1 | 84.7 |
| Jamaica | 75.6 | 77.9 |
| Japan | 85.2 | 86.4 |
| Jordan | 73.8 | 75.5 |
| Kazakhstan | 70.4 | 73.9 |
| Kenya | 54.5 | 67.8 |
| Kiribati | 67.5 | 68.9 |
| Kuwait | 74.4 | 75.5 |
| Kyrgyzstan | 71 | 74.3 |
| Lao People's Dem. Rep. | 61.7 | 66.8 |
| Latvia | 76.2 | 78.7 |
| Lebanon | 77.4 | 80.9 |
| Lesotho | 46.4 | 54.7 |
| Liberia | 53.2 | 61.6 |
| Libya | 72.8 | 74.4 |
| Lithuania | 77.5 | 79.3 |
| Luxembourg | 81.4 | 83.5 |
| Madagascar | 61.3 | 66 |
| Malawi | 48.9 | 63.1 |
| Malaysia | 75.4 | 77.1 |
| Maldives | 73.9 | 77.4 |
| Mali | 50.6 | 56.9 |
| Malta | 80.2 | 82 |
| Martinique | 82.2 | 84.4 |
| Mauritania | 61.9 | 64.1 |
| Mauritius | 75.5 | 77.7 |
| Mayotte | 80.6 | 82.9 |
| Mexico | 77.4 | 78.9 |
| Micronesia (Fed. States of) | 68.2 | 69.9 |
| Mongolia | 67.7 | 72.7 |
| Montenegro | 76.2 | 78.8 |
| Morocco | 71.4 | 76 |
| Mozambique | 51.2 | 58.1 |
| Myanmar | 65 | 68.3 |
| Namibia | 55.9 | 64.3 |
| Nepal | 65.2 | 70.5 |
| Netherlands | 81 | 83.1 |
| New Caledonia | 77.2 | 79.3 |
| New Zealand | 81.3 | 83.1 |
| Nicaragua | 73.8 | 77.5 |
| Niger | 52 | 59.5 |
| Nigeria | 47.8 | 52.6 |
| Norway | 81.8 | 83.6 |
| Oman | 75.5 | 78.7 |
| Pakistan | 64.3 | 66.8 |
| Palau | 72.1 | 77.8 |
| Panama | 78.2 | 80.5 |
| Papua New Guinea | 65.1 | 67.5 |
| Paraguay | 72.9 | 74.9 |
| Peru | 74.3 | 76.8 |
| Philippines | 70.8 | 72.1 |
| Poland | 78.8 | 81 |
| Portugal | 81 | 83.5 |
| Puerto Rico | 80.9 | 83.2 |
| Qatar | 78.1 | 79.4 |
| Republic of Korea | 80.6 | 84.4 |
| Republic of Moldova | 71.6 | 75.2 |
| Réunion | 80.6 | 82.9 |
| Romania | 75.2 | 78.4 |
| Russian Federation | 72 | 75.9 |
| Rwanda | 51.5 | 67.1 |
| Saint Lucia | 74 | 77.6 |
| Saint Vincent & Grenadines | 73.3 | 74.9 |
| Samoa | 73.6 | 77.4 |
| Sao Tome and Principe | 65.6 | 68.2 |
| Saudi Arabia | 74.6 | 75.6 |
| Senegal | 60.6 | 67.5 |
| Serbia | 75.4 | 77.5 |
| Seychelles | 76.8 | 77.9 |
| Sierra Leone | 42.6 | 50.7 |
| Singapore | 81.8 | 84.5 |
| Slovakia | 77.8 | 79.8 |
| Slovenia | 80.4 | 83.3 |
| Solomon Islands | 66 | 71.1 |
| Somalia | 53.1 | 56.5 |
| South Africa | 56.7 | 63 |
| South Sudan | 51.3 | 56 |
| Spain | 83.3 | 85.3 |
| Sri Lanka | 77.1 | 78 |
| State of Palestine | 72.9 | 74.8 |
| Sudan | 61.3 | 65.1 |
| Suriname | 71.7 | 74.2 |
| Swaziland | 47.6 | 58.2 |
| Sweden | 82.3 | 83.7 |
| Switzerland | 83.1 | 84.8 |
| Syrian Arab Republic | 75.9 | 76.3 |
| Tajikistan | 69.6 | 73.5 |
| TFYR of Macedonia | 76.4 | 77.2 |
| Thailand | 74.9 | 78.4 |
| Timor-Leste | 63 | 69.5 |
| Togo | 54.7 | 59.8 |
| Tonga | 73.5 | 75.6 |
| Trinidad and Tobago | 72.5 | 73.8 |
| Tunisia | 76.3 | 77.1 |
| Turkey | 74.9 | 78.1 |
| Turkmenistan | 68.2 | 70.8 |
| Uganda | 52.1 | 60.7 |
| Ukraine | 73.4 | 76 |
| United Arab Emirates | 76.3 | 78.2 |
| United Kingdom | 80.6 | 82.8 |
| United Rep. of Tanzania | 55.4 | 64.8 |
| United States of America | 79.7 | 81.3 |
| United States Virgin Islands | 79.5 | 81.5 |
| Uruguay | 78.9 | 80.4 |
| Uzbekistan | 71 | 73.5 |
| Vanuatu | 70.3 | 73.6 |
| Venezuela (Boliv. Rep. of) | 77.2 | 78.2 |
| Viet Nam | 78.7 | 80.3 |
| Western Sahara | 65.8 | 70.3 |
| Yemen | 62.4 | 65.6 |
| Zambia | 48.5 | 61.9 |
| Zimbabwe | 45.5 | 59 |
The mean, std deviation and no. of sample data points for 2005 and 2015 females survival data given, are as follows:
| 2005 | 2015 | |
| Mean | 70.25871 | 73.80846 |
| Std dev | 10.5955 | 8.616187 |
| n | 201 | 201 |
Looking at the mean survival years for 2005 and 2015, we see that the mean survival rate seems to have increase from 2005->2015. As we do not know the population std deviations, let's do 2 sample paired (right tailed) T-test to test the hypotheses:
H0: μ1 - μ2 <= 0
Ha: μ1 - μ2 > 0
where μ1 is the mean population survival rate for 2005 and μ2 is the mean population survival rate for 2015.
Now, assuming we do the test at 5% significance level,
T-statistic, t = [ (
-
) - d ] /
sqrt[(s1^2/n1) + (s2^2/n2)]
= - 3.684
Now, right-tailed critical T-score at alpha = 0.05 and df = 201+201-2 = 400,
T-critical, T0.05, 400 = -1.649
Since | t | > | T-critical |, we reject the null hypothesis at the 5% significance level. Hence, the mean survival years for females indeed seem to have statistically increased from 2005->2015.