In: Statistics and Probability
Using a population proportion with a confidence interval. A Wholesale store looked into the state of South Carolina and North Carolina to see how many apple tablets were purchased out of a total amount of tablets within the past week. In South Carolina, a sample showed that out of 302 tablets 113 of them were Apple. In North Carolina, a sample showed that out of 340 tablets 195 of them were Apple. Develop and calculate a 95% confidence interval for both the population proportions.
Solution :
Given,
n1 = 302 ....... Sample size
x1 = 113 .......no. of successes in the sample
n2 = 340 ....... Sample size
x2 = 195 .......no. of successes in the sample
Let
denotes the sample proportion.
1
= x1/n1 = 113/302 = 0.374
2
= x2/n2 = 195/340 = 0.574
Our aim is to construct 95% confidence interval.
c = 0.95
= 1- c = 1- 0.95 = 0.05
/2
= 0.025 and 1-
/2 = 0.975
Search the probability 0.975 in the Z table and see corresponding z value
= 1.96
Now , the margin of error is given by
E =
/2
*
1
(1 -
1)/n1
+
2
(1 -
2)/n2
= 1.96 *
[ 0.374 *(1 - 0.374)/302] + [ 0.574 *(1 - 0.574)/340]
= 0.076
Point estimate =
1 -
2
= 0.374 - 0.574
= -0.2
Now the confidence interval is given by
(
- E)
(
+ E)
( -0.2 - 0.076 )
( -0.2 + 0.076 )
-0.276
-0.124
Required 95% Confidence Interval is ( -0.276 , -0.124 )