In: Statistics and Probability
Pick a topic to investigate. Be certain to cite your source(s).
You may research a topic about a population mean or a population
proportion. Specify whether you are choosing the mean or proportion
in your report. Explain why you find this topic interesting. (15
pts.)
Collect or find a source to compare data on the same topic. If you
are using a source, it should be cited. Create a confidence
interval from the sample. For a sample proportion, use one-prop z
interval. For a sample mean, select the T-interval. Be certain to
test the conditions. Select your level of confidence: it should be
90%, 95% or 98%. Determine the margin of error for the interval.
What is your sample size? How can you decrease your margin of
error? (25 pts.)
Test a hypothesis using the value that you obtained in part two
about either the true population proportion or true mean. What are
your null and alternative hypotheses? Do you have enough evidence
to reject the null hypothesis when . (15 pts.)
Explain what the P-value means in the context of the situation. ( 5
points.)
Calculate the test statistic. Can you conclude whether to reject or
fail to reject the null hypothesis by using your test statistic?
Explain. Show calculations. (10 points.)
When you created your confidence interval in part 3, did that
contradict your findings for the hypothesis test? Explain. (10
points)
Write a conclusion regarding your findings. (10 points.)
Summary Table for Live Births |
|
Mean |
6206.33 |
Median |
4260.50 |
Standard Deviation |
7419.47 |
Minimum |
444 |
Maximum |
42836 |
Determine if there is sufficient evidence to conclude the average amount of births is over 8000 in the United States and territories at the 0.05 level of significance.
Clearly state a null and alternative hypothesis.
The null and alternative hypothesis are:
Null hypothesis, Ho: µ = 8000.
The average amount of births is 8000.
Alternative hypothesis, H1: µ> 8000.
The average amount of births is more than 8000.
Give the value of the test statistic.
We are given with:
Sample mean, x = 6206.33
Standard Deviation, s = 7419.47
Significance level, α = 0.05
Sample size, n = 52
Degree of freedom, df = n - 1 = 52 – 1 = 51
Test statistic, t = (x - µ)/s/ Ön
= (6206.33 – 8000)/7419.47/Ö52
= (-1793.67)/7419.47/Ö52
= - 1.743
Report the P-Value.
P-value with df = 51 and test statistic = -1.743 at α = 0.05 is, 0.0437.
Clearly state your conclusion (Reject the Null or Fail to Reject the Null)
Since p-value is less than the significance level, we can reject the null hypothesis. 0.0437<0.05.
Explain what your conclusion means in context of the data.
Therefore, we have sufficient evidence to say that the average amount of births is more than 8000.