In: Statistics and Probability
Xn is a discrete-time Markov chain with state-space {1,2,3}, transition matrix, P =
.2 | .1 | .7 |
.3 | .3 | .4 |
.6 | .3 | .1 |
a) find E[X1|X0=2] =
b) The P(X9=1|X7=3) =
C) The P(X2=2) =
.a)
E(X1/X0=2) = 1* P(X1=1/X0=2) + 2* P(X1=2/X0=2) + 3*
P(X1=3/X0=2)
from the transition matrix, we know that
P(X1=1/X0=2) = 0.3
P(X1=2/X0=2) = 0.3
P(X1=3/X0=2) = 0.4
E(X1/X0=2) = 0.3+ 0.6+ 1.2 = 2.1
b)
c)