In: Statistics and Probability
Given the transition matrix P for a Markov chain, find the stable vector W. Write entries as fractions in lowest terms.
P= 0.5 0 0.5
0.2 0.2 0.6
0
1 0
Given the transition matrix P for a Markov chain ,
Let the stable vector be W = [X , Y , Z]
stable vector must satisfy
Wp = W
and X +Y+Z =1 eq (1)
i.e [X,Y,Z] = [X,Y,Z]
0.5X +0.2Y = X (2)
0.2Y+Z = Y (3)
0.5X+0.6Y =Z (4)
now from equation (2)
0.5 X +0.2Y = X
0.2Y = X-0.5X
0.2Y = 0.5X (5)
0.2Y +Z =Y
Z = Y -0.2Y
= 0.8Y
Put the equation (4)in equation (3)
0.5X +0.6 Y = 0.8Y
0.5X = 0.8Y - 0.6Y
0.5X = 0.2Y
X = 0.2Y / 0.5
X = 0.4 Y (6)
put the X value in equation (5)
0.2Y = 0.5X
0.2Y = 0.5(0.4Y)
0.2Y = 0.2Y
Y = 1
Now put the Y value in equation (6)
X = 0.4 Y
= 0.4(1)
= 0.4
now keep the X value and Y value in equation (4)
0.5 X + 0.6 Y = Z
0.5(0.4) +0.6 (1) = Z
0.2 +0.6 = Z
Z = 0.8
and W =[X, Y , Z ]
the value of W is
W = [0.4 , 1 , 0.8 ]