In: Finance
The Butler-Perkins Company (BPC) must decide between two mutually exclusive projects. Each project has an initial outflow of $6,750 and has an expected life of 3 years. Annual project cash flows begin 1 year after the initial investment and are subject to the following probability distributions:
Project A | Project B | |||
Probability | Cash Flows | Probability | Cash Flows | |
0.2 | $6,500 | 0.2 | $ 0 | |
0.6 | 6,750 | 0.6 | 6,750 | |
0.2 | 7,000 | 0.2 | 18,000 |
BPC has decided to evaluate the riskier project at 11% and the less-risky project at 10%.
Project A: | $ |
Project B: | $ |
σA: | $ |
CVA: |
project B Standard deviations and coefficient of variation already given in the question but in below explained how to get the answer of both project.
A. First find the expected annual cash flows of each project | |||
Project A | |||
probability | cash flows | expected cash flows = (probability X cash flows) | |
0.2 | 6500 | 1300 | |
0.6 | 6750 | 4050 | |
0.2 | 7000 | 1400 | |
6750 | |||
Project B | |||
probability | cash flows | expected cash flows = (probability X cash flows) | |
0.2 | 0 | 0 | |
0.6 | 6750 | 4050 | |
0.2 | 18000 | 3600 | |
7650 | |||
Standard deviation and coefficient of variance of Project A | |||
find the deviations from Mean | |||
cash flows | expected cash flows | deviations from Mean (cash flows - expected cash flows) | |
6250 | 6750 | -500 | |
7000 | 6750 | 250 | |
7750 | 6750 | 1000 | |
now Standard deviation and coefficient of variance of Project A | |||
deviations from Mean | squared deviations from Mean | probability | probability X squared deviations |
-500 | 250000 | 0.2 | 50000 |
250 | 62500 | 0.6 | 37500 |
1000 | 1000000 | 0.2 | 200000 |
Variance | 287500 | ||
Square root of variance = standard deviations (287500)^0.5 | 536.1903 | ||
Divide by expected return - Mean | 6750 | ||
coefficient of variation (536.1903/6750) | 0.079436 | ||
Standard deviation and coefficient of variance of Project B | |||
find the deviations from Mean | |||
cash flows | expected cash flows | deviations from Mean (cash flows - expected cash flows) | |
0 | 7650 | -7650 | |
6750 | 7650 | -900 | |
18000 | 7650 | 10350 | |
now Standard deviation and coefficient of variance of Project B | |||
deviations from Mean | squared deviations from Mean | probability | probability X squared deviations |
-7650 | 58522500 | 0.2 | 11704500 |
-900 | 810000 | 0.6 | 486000 |
10350 | 107122500 | 0.2 | 21424500 |
Variance | 33615000 | ||
Square root of variance = standard deviations (33615000)^0.5 | 5798 | ||
Divide by expected return - Mean | 7650 | ||
coefficient of variation (5798/7650) | 0.76 | ||