In: Finance
The Butler-Perkins Company (BPC) must decide between two mutually exclusive projects. Each project has an initial outflow of $6,750 and has an expected life of 3 years. Annual project cash flows begin 1 year after the initial investment and are subject to the following probability distributions:
| Project A | Project B | |||
| Probability | Cash Flows | Probability | Cash Flows | |
| 0.2 | $6,500 | 0.2 | $ 0 | |
| 0.6 | 6,750 | 0.6 | 6,750 | |
| 0.2 | 7,000 | 0.2 | 18,000 | |
BPC has decided to evaluate the riskier project at 11% and the less-risky project at 10%.
| Project A: | $ | 
| Project B: | $ | 
| σA: | $ | 
| CVA: | 
project B Standard deviations and coefficient of variation already given in the question but in below explained how to get the answer of both project.
| A. First find the expected annual cash flows of each project | |||
| Project A | |||
| probability | cash flows | expected cash flows = (probability X cash flows) | |
| 0.2 | 6500 | 1300 | |
| 0.6 | 6750 | 4050 | |
| 0.2 | 7000 | 1400 | |
| 6750 | |||
| Project B | |||
| probability | cash flows | expected cash flows = (probability X cash flows) | |
| 0.2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 0.6 | 6750 | 4050 | |
| 0.2 | 18000 | 3600 | |
| 7650 | |||
| Standard deviation and coefficient of variance of Project A | |||
| find the deviations from Mean | |||
| cash flows | expected cash flows | deviations from Mean (cash flows - expected cash flows) | |
| 6250 | 6750 | -500 | |
| 7000 | 6750 | 250 | |
| 7750 | 6750 | 1000 | |
| now Standard deviation and coefficient of variance of Project A | |||
| deviations from Mean | squared deviations from Mean | probability | probability X squared deviations | 
| -500 | 250000 | 0.2 | 50000 | 
| 250 | 62500 | 0.6 | 37500 | 
| 1000 | 1000000 | 0.2 | 200000 | 
| Variance | 287500 | ||
| Square root of variance = standard deviations (287500)^0.5 | 536.1903 | ||
| Divide by expected return - Mean | 6750 | ||
| coefficient of variation (536.1903/6750) | 0.079436 | ||
| Standard deviation and coefficient of variance of Project B | |||
| find the deviations from Mean | |||
| cash flows | expected cash flows | deviations from Mean (cash flows - expected cash flows) | |
| 0 | 7650 | -7650 | |
| 6750 | 7650 | -900 | |
| 18000 | 7650 | 10350 | |
| now Standard deviation and coefficient of variance of Project B | |||
| deviations from Mean | squared deviations from Mean | probability | probability X squared deviations | 
| -7650 | 58522500 | 0.2 | 11704500 | 
| -900 | 810000 | 0.6 | 486000 | 
| 10350 | 107122500 | 0.2 | 21424500 | 
| Variance | 33615000 | ||
| Square root of variance = standard deviations (33615000)^0.5 | 5798 | ||
| Divide by expected return - Mean | 7650 | ||
| coefficient of variation (5798/7650) | 0.76 | ||