In: Finance
The Butler-Perkins Company (BPC) must decide between two mutually exclusive projects. Each project has an initial outflow of $6,500 and has an expected life of 3 years. Annual project cash flows begin 1 year after the initial investment and are subject to the following probability distributions:
Project A | Project B | |||
Probability | Cash Flows | Probability | Cash Flows | |
0.2 | $5,750 | 0.2 | $ 0 | |
0.6 | 6,500 | 0.6 | 6,500 | |
0.2 | 7,250 | 0.2 | 19,000 |
BPC has decided to evaluate the riskier project at 12% and the less-risky project at 10%.
Project A: | $ |
Project B: | $ |
σA: | $ |
CVA: |
1). Calculating the project's expected Annual Cash flows:-
Prob (P) | Project A's Cash flows (A) | Project B's Cash flows (B) | Project's Expected Cash flows [(P)*(A)] | Project's Expected Cash flows [(P)*(B)] |
0.20 | 5750.00 | 0.00 | 1150.00 | 0.00 |
0.60 | 6500.00 | 6500.00 | 3900.00 | 3900.00 |
0.20 | 7250.00 | 19000.00 | 1450.00 | 3800.00 |
Expected Annual cash flows | 6500.00 | 7700.00 |
So, each project's expected annual cash flow:-
Project A: | $ 6500 |
Project B: | $ 7700 |
-
Prob (P) | Project A's Cash flows (A) | (P)*(A) | Deviation [R-E(A)] | [R-E(C)]^2 | {[R-E(C)]^2}*(P) |
0.20 | 5750.00 | 1150.00 | -750.00 | 562500.00 | 112500.00 |
0.60 | 6500.00 | 3900.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
0.20 | 7250.00 | 1450.00 | 750.00 | 562500.00 | 112500.00 |
E(A)=6500 | 225,000.00 |
-Standard deviation of Project A
So, Standard Deviation of Project A (σA) = $ 474.34
- Coefficient of variation = Standard Deviation/Expected Annual Cash flows
= $474.34/$6500
CVA = 0.07
Note- Answer is been provided for the Questions asked.