Question

In: Statistics and Probability

As shown in the following graph, the airfare is determinined by a couple of factors. The...

  1. As shown in the following graph, the airfare is determinined by a couple of factors. The excel file “Airfare.xlsx” include a couple of such factors, such as:
    • Origin: Airport code for the origin    
    • Destination: Airport code for the destination
    • Average Fare: Average non-stop fare for the route
    • # of Airlines: Number of Airlines providing direct service between O & D
    • Distance: Distance between O & D   
    • South_West: Whether Southwest provides a Direct Service
    • Holiday_O: Whether Origin is a holiday market      
    • Holiday_D: Whether Destination is holiday market
    • Traffic_O: Annual airport traffic at Origin è city size
    • Traffic_D: Annual airport traffic at Destination è city size

  • Please estimate the airfare model with the following steps
    • Step 1: Generate “DumHO” using Holiday_O
    • Step 2: Generate “DumHD” using Holiday_D
    • Step 3: Generate “DumSW” using SouthWest
    • Step 4: Perform a regression analysis

          Airfare = a + b1* (# of Airlines) + b2* Distance

                                  + b3* Traffic_O + b4* Traffic_D

                                  + b5* DumHO + b6* DumHD

                                  + b6* DumSW + ε

  • Answer the following questions in Excel (you can find them in the worksheet “questions”):
    • Q1: One more airline in the market will (decrease/increase) average fare by $().
    • Q2: Presence of South West in the market will (decrease/increase) average fare by $(                    ).
    • Q3: One mile longer in distance will (decrease/increase) average fare by $(                        ).
    • Q4: If destination is holiday market, average fare will (decrease/increase) by $().
Origin Destination Average Fare # of Airlines Distance Traffic_O Traffic_D Holiday_O Holiday_D South_West
DFW MFE 268 1 468 16.98 12.50 Yes No No
HOU HRL 117 1 276 15.10 12.89 No No Yes
BNA PHL 247 2 675 15.18 16.19 No No Yes
DFW PHL 281 3 1302 16.98 16.19 Yes No No
MCO PHL 158 3 861 16.38 16.19 Yes No Yes
MHT PHL 151 3 290 14.41 16.19 No No Yes
PBI PHL 148 3 951 14.89 16.19 Yes No No
PHX PHL 224 4 2075 16.65 16.19 Yes No Yes
PIT PHL 133 3 267 15.57 16.19 No No Yes

Solutions

Expert Solution

o/p\ from excel for regression analysis

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.971852
R Square 0.944496
Adjusted R Square 0.555965
Standard Error 41.89654
Observations 9
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 7 29869.57 4267.081 2.430941 0.458299
Residual 1 1755.32 1755.32
Total 8 31624.89
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
Intercept -867.018 495.238 -1.751 0.330 -7159.609 5425.573 -7159.609 5425.573
# of Airlines -57.701 41.355 -1.395 0.396 -583.161 467.760 -583.161 467.760
Distance 0.074 0.046 1.606 0.355 -0.514 0.663 -0.514 0.663
Traffic_O 48.375 24.084 2.009 0.294 -257.645 354.395 -257.645 354.395
Traffic_D 30.350 22.945 1.323 0.412 -261.197 321.896 -261.197 321.896
Holiday_O -75.249 66.317 -1.135 0.460 -917.892 767.394 -917.892 767.394
Holiday_D 0 0 65535 0 0 0 0 0
South_West -64.3027 47.08193 -1.36576 0 -662.535 533.9299 -662.535 533.9299

airfare = -867.012 + (-57.7008)airlines + 0.074distance + 48.375traffic_o + 30.350traffic_D + (-75.249)holiday_o + (0)holiday_D + (-64.3027)south_west

a)

one more airline will decrease the average airfare by $(57.7008)

b)

Presence of South West in the market will (decrease/ average fare by $( 64.3027)

c)

  One mile longer in distance will (increase) average fare by $( 0.074 )

d)

the intercept for holiday market is 0 , so no effect on airfare by market holiday


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