Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Consider the following time series: Quarter Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 1 66 63 57...

Consider the following time series:

Quarter Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
1 66 63 57
2 48 40 50
3 59 61 54
4 73 76 67

Use a multiple linear regression model with dummy variables as follows to develop an equation to account for seasonal effects in the data: Qtr1 = 1 if quarter 1, 0 otherwise; Qtr2 = 1 if quarter 2, 0 otherwise; Qtr3 = 1 if quarter 3, 0 otherwise. For subtractive or negative numbers use a minus sign even if there is a + sign before the blank. (Example: -300)

Compute the quarterly forecasts for next year.
Year Quarter Ft
4 1
4 2
4 3
4 4

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