In: Math
The number of floods that occur in a certain region over a given
year is a random variable having a Poisson distribution with mean
2, independently from one year to the other. Moreover, the time
period (in days) during which the ground is flooded, at the time of
an arbitrary flood, is an exponential random variable with mean 5.
We assume that the durations of the floods are independent. Using
the central limit theorem, calculate (approximately)
(a) the probability that over the course of the next 50 years,
there will be at least 80 floods in this region. Assume that we do
not need to apply half-unit correction for this question.
(b) the probability that the total time during which the ground will be flooded over the course of the next 50 floods will be smaller than 200 days.