In: Statistics and Probability
In a certain region, 24% of people over age 50 didn't graduate
from high school. We would like to know if this percentage is the
same among the 25-30 year age group. Use critical values to exactly
3 decimal places.
(a) How many 25-30 year old people should be surveyed in order to
estimate the proportion of non-grads to within 6% with 99%
confidence?
(b) Suppose we wanted to cut the margin of error to 2%. How many
people should be sampled now?
(c) What sample size is required for a margin of error of
3%?
Solution :
Given that,
= 24% = 0.24
1 - = 1 - 0.24 = 0.76
At 99% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 99% = 1 - 0.99 = 0.01
/ 2 = 0.01 / 2 = 0.005
Z/2 = Z0.005 = 2.576
(a)
Margin of error = E = 6% = 0.06
sample size = n = (Z / 2 / E )2 * * (1 - )
= (2.576 / 0.06)2 * 0.24 * 0.76
= 336.21 = 337
337 old people 25-30 year should be surveyed .
(b)
Margin of error = E = 2% = 0.02
sample size = n = (Z / 2 / E )2 * * (1 - )
= (2.576 / 0.02)2 * 0.24 * 0.76
= 3025.91 = 3026
3026 people should be sampled .
(c)
Margin of error = E = 3% = 0.03
sample size = n = (Z / 2 / E )2 * * (1 - )
= (2.576 / 0.03)2 * 0.24 * 0.76
= 1344.85 = 1345
Sample size = 1345