In: Finance
What is the standard deviation of the returns on a $40,000 portfolio which consists of stocks C and D? Stock C is valued at $22,000.
|
State of Economy |
Probability of State of Economy |
Returns if State Occurs | |
| Stock C | Stock D | ||
| Boom | 20% | 15% | 4% |
| Normal | 70% | 9% | 6% |
| Recession | 10% | -2% | 5% |
| Solution: | |||
| Portfolio's Standard deviation | 0.0231 | in decimal | |
| 2.31% | in % | ||
| Working Notes: | |||
| First of all | We calculate weight of each stock in the portfolio | ||
| Weight of Stock C in portfolio | |||
| = Stock C value/ portfolio value | |||
| =22,000/40,000 | |||
| =0.55 | |||
| Weight of Stock D in portfolio | |||
| = 1-Weight of Stock C in portfolio | |||
| = 1 - 0.55 | |||
| =0.45 | |||
| Then | We calculate Return of portfolio at each state of Economy. | ||
| Return at Boom (rb) | Return of portfolio at Boom (rb)= Weighted average return of individual asset | ||
| =Sum of ( return x weight of % invested) | |||
| = 15% x 0.55 + 4% x 0.45 | |||
| =10.05% | |||
| Return at Normal (r Normal) | Return at Normal (r Normal) = Weighted average return of individual asset | ||
| =Sum of ( return x weight of % invested) | |||
| = 9% x 0.55 + 6% x 0.45 | |||
| =7.65% | |||
| Return at Recession (r Recession) | Return at Recession (r Recession)= Weighted average return of individual asset | ||
| =Sum of ( return x weight of % invested) | |||
| = -2% x 0.55 + 5% x 0.45 | |||
| =1.15% | |||
| Expected return of portfolio(Er) = Sum of ((prob of each state) x (Return of portfolio at each state)) | |||
| =0.20 x 10.05% + 0.70 x 7.65% + 10% x 1.15% | |||
| =7.48% | |||
| The variance of this portfolio = Sum of [(Prob. Of each state) x ( (Return of the portfolio at each state - Expected return of the portfolio))^2 ] | |||
| =0.20 x (10.05% - 7.48%)^2 + 0.70 x (7.65% - 7.48%)^2 + 0.10 x (1.15% - 7.48%)^2 | |||
| =0.00053481000 | |||
| The standard deviation of Portfolio = Square root of the variance of portfolio | |||
| The standard deviation of Portfolio = (0.00053481000)^(1/2) | |||
| The standard deviation of Portfolio = 0.023125959 | |||
| The standard deviation of Portfolio = 0.0231 | |||
| The standard deviation of Portfolio | 2.31% | ||
| Please feel free to ask if anything about above solution in comment section of the question. | |||