Question

In: Finance

What is the standard deviation of the returns on a $40,000 portfolio which consists of stocks...

What is the standard deviation of the returns on a $40,000 portfolio which consists of stocks C and D? Stock C is valued at $22,000.

State of

Economy

Probability of

State of Economy

Returns if State Occurs
Stock C Stock D
Boom 20% 15% 4%
Normal 70% 9% 6%
Recession 10% -2% 5%

Solutions

Expert Solution

Solution:
Portfolio's Standard deviation 0.0231 in decimal
2.31% in %
Working Notes:
First of all We calculate weight of each stock in the portfolio
Weight of Stock C in portfolio
= Stock C value/ portfolio value
=22,000/40,000
=0.55
Weight of Stock D in portfolio
= 1-Weight of Stock C in portfolio
= 1 - 0.55
=0.45
Then We calculate Return of portfolio at each state of Economy.
Return at Boom (rb) Return of portfolio at Boom (rb)= Weighted average return of individual asset
=Sum of ( return x weight of % invested)
= 15% x 0.55 + 4% x 0.45
=10.05%
Return at Normal   (r Normal) Return at Normal   (r Normal) = Weighted average return of individual asset
=Sum of ( return x weight of % invested)
= 9% x 0.55 + 6% x 0.45
=7.65%
Return at Recession   (r Recession) Return at Recession   (r Recession)= Weighted average return of individual asset
=Sum of ( return x weight of % invested)
= -2% x 0.55 + 5% x 0.45
=1.15%
Expected return of portfolio(Er) = Sum of ((prob of each state) x (Return of portfolio at each state))
=0.20 x 10.05% + 0.70 x 7.65% + 10% x 1.15%  
=7.48%
The variance of this portfolio = Sum of [(Prob. Of each state) x ( (Return of the portfolio at each state - Expected return of the portfolio))^2 ]
=0.20 x (10.05% - 7.48%)^2 + 0.70 x (7.65% - 7.48%)^2 + 0.10 x (1.15% - 7.48%)^2
=0.00053481000
The standard deviation of Portfolio = Square root of the variance of portfolio
The standard deviation of Portfolio = (0.00053481000)^(1/2)
The standard deviation of Portfolio = 0.023125959
The standard deviation of Portfolio = 0.0231
The standard deviation of Portfolio 2.31%
Please feel free to ask if anything about above solution in comment section of the question.

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