In: Finance
What is the standard deviation of the returns on a $40,000 portfolio which consists of stocks C and D? Stock C is valued at $22,000.
State of Economy |
Probability of State of Economy |
Returns if State Occurs | |
Stock C | Stock D | ||
Boom | 20% | 15% | 4% |
Normal | 70% | 9% | 6% |
Recession | 10% | -2% | 5% |
Solution: | |||
Portfolio's Standard deviation | 0.0231 | in decimal | |
2.31% | in % | ||
Working Notes: | |||
First of all | We calculate weight of each stock in the portfolio | ||
Weight of Stock C in portfolio | |||
= Stock C value/ portfolio value | |||
=22,000/40,000 | |||
=0.55 | |||
Weight of Stock D in portfolio | |||
= 1-Weight of Stock C in portfolio | |||
= 1 - 0.55 | |||
=0.45 | |||
Then | We calculate Return of portfolio at each state of Economy. | ||
Return at Boom (rb) | Return of portfolio at Boom (rb)= Weighted average return of individual asset | ||
=Sum of ( return x weight of % invested) | |||
= 15% x 0.55 + 4% x 0.45 | |||
=10.05% | |||
Return at Normal (r Normal) | Return at Normal (r Normal) = Weighted average return of individual asset | ||
=Sum of ( return x weight of % invested) | |||
= 9% x 0.55 + 6% x 0.45 | |||
=7.65% | |||
Return at Recession (r Recession) | Return at Recession (r Recession)= Weighted average return of individual asset | ||
=Sum of ( return x weight of % invested) | |||
= -2% x 0.55 + 5% x 0.45 | |||
=1.15% | |||
Expected return of portfolio(Er) = Sum of ((prob of each state) x (Return of portfolio at each state)) | |||
=0.20 x 10.05% + 0.70 x 7.65% + 10% x 1.15% | |||
=7.48% | |||
The variance of this portfolio = Sum of [(Prob. Of each state) x ( (Return of the portfolio at each state - Expected return of the portfolio))^2 ] | |||
=0.20 x (10.05% - 7.48%)^2 + 0.70 x (7.65% - 7.48%)^2 + 0.10 x (1.15% - 7.48%)^2 | |||
=0.00053481000 | |||
The standard deviation of Portfolio = Square root of the variance of portfolio | |||
The standard deviation of Portfolio = (0.00053481000)^(1/2) | |||
The standard deviation of Portfolio = 0.023125959 | |||
The standard deviation of Portfolio = 0.0231 | |||
The standard deviation of Portfolio | 2.31% | ||
Please feel free to ask if anything about above solution in comment section of the question. |