In: Finance
| Portion invested in B= | 100%-(20%+45%) | ||||||||
| Portion invested in B= | 35.00% | ||||||||
| State of economy | Probability | A | B | C | |||||
| Boom | 20.00% | 9.00% | 3.00% | 11.00% | |||||
| Normal | 55.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 8.00% | |||||
| Bust | 25.00% | -2.00% | 10.00% | -13.00% | |||||
| Computation of expected return (A-20%, B-35%, C-45%) | |||||||||
| 20% | 35% | 45% | Average return= Probability * return | Deviation= Return less average return | Deviation^2 | Deviation^2*Probability | |||
| State of economy | Probability | A | B | C | Portfolio | Portfolio | Portfolio | Portfolio | Stock A |
| Return*weight | |||||||||
| Boom | 20.00% | 1.800% | 1.05% | 4.95% | 7.800% | 1.56% | 3.55% | 0.126% | 0.0251% |
| Normal | 55.00% | 0.800% | 1.75% | 3.60% | 6.150% | 3.38% | 1.90% | 0.036% | 0.0198% |
| Bust | 25.00% | -0.400% | 3.50% | -5.85% | -2.750% | -0.69% | -7.01% | 0.491% | 0.1227% |
| Total | 4.26% | 0.1676% | |||||||
| Expected return-Portfolio | 4.26% | ||||||||
| Variance-Portfolio | 0.17% | ||||||||
| Standard deviation-Portfolio | 4.1% | Variance ^0.5 |