In: Statistics and Probability
2. A study on wounds involved subjecting 18 randomly selected anaesthetized crested newts to a razor cut. The healing velocities of the cuts in micrometeres per hour for each newt were 29 27 34 40 22 28 14 35 26 35 12 30 23 18 11 22 23 33
(a) It is believed that the typical wound-healing velocity for crested newts is 30 micrometres/hour. Carry out a test to see if there is any evidence against this claim at level 0.05. Be sure to check all assumptions that you can check.
(b) What type of error (Type 1 or Type 2) could you be making from your conclusion in (a)? Describe that error in the context of the question.
(c) Carry out the test from (a) at level 0.01 using an appropriate condence interval.
Step 1:
Ho: = 30
Ha: 30
Null hypothesis states that the avg wound healing velocity for crested newts is 30 micrometers/hour.
Step 2: Test statistics
n = 18
mean = sum of all terms/ no of terms = 462 / 18 = 25.6667
data | data-mean | (data - mean)2 |
29 | 3.3333 | 11.11088889 |
27 | 1.3333 | 1.77768889 |
34 | 8.3333 | 69.44388889 |
40 | 14.3333 | 205.44348889 |
22 | -3.6667 | 13.44468889 |
28 | 2.3333 | 5.44428889 |
14 | -11.6667 | 136.11188889 |
35 | 9.3333 | 87.11048889 |
26 | 0.3333 | 0.11108889 |
35 | 9.3333 | 87.11048889 |
12 | -13.6667 | 186.77868889 |
30 | 4.3333 | 18.77748889 |
23 | -2.6667 | 7.11128889 |
18 | -7.6667 | 58.77828889 |
11 | -14.6667 | 215.11208889 |
22 | -3.6667 | 13.44468889 |
23 | -2.6667 | 7.11128889 |
33 | 7.3333 | 53.77728889 |
Assuming that the data is normally distributed. Also as the population standard deviation is not given, we will calculate t statistics
Step 3:
Level of significane = 0.05
df = 17
Critical Value of t (Two Tailed): ± 2.11
Since the t stat falls in the rejections area (-2.208 < -2.11), we reject the Null hyothesis.
Hence there is sufficient evidence to believe that avg wound healing velocity for crested is not 30 micrometers/hour.
(b) We might be making Type I error : Reject the Null hypothesis when in reality the Null hypothesis is True.
i.e. The avg wound healing velocity for crested is 30 micrometers/hour but we are rejecting this and saying that it is not 30 micrometers/hours.
(c) t value for 99% of confidence interval at 17 df is TINV(0.01,17) = 2.898
CI = mean +/- E = 19.981 31.353
Since 30 is in the range, we fail to reject the Null hypothesis at 0.01 significane level.