In: Statistics and Probability
18% of all Americans live in poverty. If 44 Americans are randomly selected, find the probability that
a. Exactly 9 of them major in STEM.
b. At most 12 of them major in STEM.
c. At least 8 of them major in STEM.
d. Between 9 and 13 (including 9 and 13) of them major in STEM.
Solution:
Given that,
P = 0.18
1 - P = 0.82
n = 44
Here, BIN ( n , P ) that is , BIN (44 , 0.18)
then,
n*p = 7.92 > 5
n(1- P) = 36.08 > 5
According to normal approximation binomial,
X Normal
Mean = = n*P = 7.92
Standard deviation = =n*p*(1-p) = 6.4944
We using continuity correction factor
a)
P(X = a) = P( a - 0.5 < X < a + 0.5)
P(8.5 < x < 9.5) = P((8.5 - 7.92)/ 6.4944 ) < (x - ) / < (9.5 - 7.92) / 6.4944 ) )
= P(0.23 < z < 0.62)
= P(z < 0.62) - P(z < 0.23)
= 0.7324 - 0.5910
Probability = 0.1414
b)
P( X a ) = P(X < a + 0.5)
P(x < 12.5) = P((x - ) / < (12.5 - 7.92) /6.4944 )
= P(z < 1.80)
Probability = 0.9641
c)
P(X a ) = P(X > a - 0.5)
P(x > 7.5) = 1 - P(x < 7.5)
= 1 - P((x - ) / < (7.5 - 7.92) / 6.4944)
= 1 - P(z < -0.16)
= 1 - 0.4364
= 0.5636
Probability = 0.5636
d)
P(9 X 13) = P( a - 0.5 < X < b + 0.5)
P(8.5 < x < 13.5) = P((8.5 - 7.92)/ 6.4944) < (x - ) / < (13.5 - 7.92) / 6.4944) )
= P(0.23 < z < 2.19)
= P(z < 2.19) - P(z < 0.23)
= 0.9857 - 0.5910
Probability = 0.3947