In: Statistics and Probability
Table 1: Customer Wait Time (in minutes) at the Downtown Lube & Oil | |||||
SAMPLE | |||||
Day 1 | Day 2 | Day 3 | Day 4 | ||
Wait Time (minutes) | 25 | 28 | 28 | 28 | |
28 | 33 | 30 | 37 | ||
21 | 24 | 26 | 39 | ||
32 | 27 | 28 | 38 | ||
28 | 37 | 34 | 36 | ||
22 | 29 | 36 | 43 | ||
34 | 29 | 28 | 33 | ||
25 | 30 | 34 | 30 | ||
24 | 27 | 25 | 36 | ||
29 | 33 | 44 | 45 | ||
Sometimes both x-bar chart and p-chart are available to monitor the same process. In Table 1 above, you collect measurement data (wait times in minutes) to create an x-bar chart. You can also collect count data (pass/fail data) instead to create a p-chart. As you are curious about how it works, you decide to create a p-chart, too.
First, you convert the measurement data in Table 1 to count data using the following criteria:
Criteria |
|
Not defective (i.e., wait time is appropriate) |
25 minutes ≤ wait time ≤ 35 minutes |
Defective (i.e., wait time is too short or too long) |
wait time < 25 minutes or wait time > 35 minutes 1) |
For example, the third wait time on Day 1 in Table 1 is 21 minutes. This is less than 25 minutes. Therefore, you count this as a defective. Table 2 shows the number of defectives.
Table 2: Number of Defectives
SAMPLE |
||||
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4 |
|
Number of Defectives |
3 |
2 |
2 |
7 |
Question 1
Based on the Table 2, determine the probability of defectives (p).
Question 2
Continued from Question 1. Determine the standard deviation of p (σp). Round your answer to two decimal places.
Question 3
Continued from Question 14. Determine three-sigma (i.e., z=3) upper and lower control limits for a p-chart. Round your answers to two decimal places.
Question 4
Based on the p-chart, is the process in control? If not, which day(s) is not in control?
* I assume that customer wait times (population) are normally distributed with a mean of 30 minutes and a standard deviation of 5 minutes. This implies that the mean of customer wait times (sample mean) is normally distributed with a mean of 30 minutes and a standard deviation of 510 minutes, where 10 is the number of observations in each sample (i.e., sample size). Then, the upper and lower thresholds are calculated as 30±3510. *
The following table shows all the calculations -
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4 |
Total |
|
Number of defectives |
3 |
2 |
2 |
7 |
|
Fraction defective(pi) |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.40 |
(pi - ) |
-0.05 |
-0.15 |
-0.15 |
0.35 |
0.0 |
(pi - )2 |
0.0025 |
0.0225 |
0.0225 |
0.1225 |
0.17 |
The mean of fraction defective , = (0.3 + 0.2 + 0.2 + 0.7) / 4 = 0.35
Answer 1:
The probability of defectives , p = 0.35 (OPTION A)
Answer 2 :
Hence , OPTION D is correct
Answer 3 :
Hence , OPTION B is correct
Answer 4 :
Since , all the values lie within the control limits , the process
is in - control
Hence , OPTION A is correct.