In: Finance
Assume Highline Company has just paid an annual dividend of $ 1.02 Analysts are predicting an 10.1 % per year growth rate in earnings over the next five years. Afterthen, Highline's earnings are expected to grow at the current industry average of 5.7 % per year. If Highline's equity cost of capital is 9.3 % per year and its dividend payout ratio remains constant, for what price does the dividend-discount model predict Highline stock should sell?
The value of Highline's stock is $
Step-1, Dividend per share for the next 5 years
Dividend per share Year 1 (D1) = $1.1230 per share [$1.02 x 110.10%]
Dividend per share Year 2 (D2) = $1.2364 per share [$1.1230 x 110.10%]
Dividend per share Year 3 (D3) = $1.3613 per share [$1.2364 x 110.10%]
Dividend per share Year 4 (D4) = $1.4988 per share [$1.3613 x 110.10%]
Dividend per share Year 5 (D5) = $1.6502 per share [$1.4988 x 110.10%]
Step-2, Calculation of Stock Price for the Year 5 (P5)
Stock Price for the Year 5 (P5) = D5(1 + g) / (Ke – g)
= $1.6502(1 + 0.057) / (0.093 – 0.057)
= $1.7443 / 0.036
= $48.45 per share
Step-3, The Value of the Stock
The company’s stock price is the Present Value of the future dividend payments and the present value the stock price for the year 5
Year |
Cash flow ($) |
Present Value factor at 9.30% |
Stock price ($) |
1 |
1.1230 |
0.914913 |
1.03 |
2 |
1.2364 |
0.837066 |
1.03 |
3 |
1.3613 |
0.765843 |
1.04 |
4 |
1.4988 |
0.700679 |
1.05 |
5 |
1.6502 |
0.641061 |
1.06 |
TOTAL |
$36.27 |
||
“Hence, the value of Highline's stock would be $36.27”
NOTE
The Formula for calculating the Present Value Factor is [1/(1 + r)n], Where “r” is the Discount/Interest Rate and “n” is the number of years.