In: Finance
Assume Highline Company has just paid an annual dividend of $ 1.01. Analysts are predicting an 10.1 % per year growth rate in earnings over the next five years. After then, Highline's earnings are expected to grow at the current industry average of 5.3 % per year. If Highline's equity cost of capital is 8.6 % per year and its dividend payout ratio remains constant, for what price does the dividend-discount model predict Highline stock should sell?
Ans.
Year | Dividends(a) | Discounting factor @ 8.6% (b) | Present Value (a*b) |
1 | $ 1.11 | 0.92081031 | $ 1.02 |
2 | $ 1.22 | 0.84789163 | $ 1.04 |
3 | $ 1.35 | 0.78074736 | $ 1.05 |
4 | $ 1.48 | 0.71892022 | $ 1.07 |
5 | $ 1.63 | 0.66198915 | $ 1.08 |
$ 5.26 |
Formulas
A/1 | B | C | D | E |
2 | Year | Dividends(a) | Discounting factor @ 8.6% (b) | Present Value (a*b) |
3 | 1 | =1.01*1.101 | =1/1.086 | =+C3*D3 |
4 | 2 | =+C3*1.101 | =+D3/1.086 | =+C4*D4 |
5 | 3 | =+C4*1.101 | =+D4/1.086 | =+C5*D5 |
6 | 4 | =+C5*1.101 | =+D5/1.086 | =+C6*D6 |
7 | 5 | =+C6*1.101 | =+D6/1.086 | =+C7*D7 |
8 | =SUM(E3:E7) |
P5 = D6 / Re - g
P5 = $ 1.63 * ( 1.053) / 8.6% - 5.3%
P5 = $ 1.72062544 / 3.3% = $ 52.14016485
Present Value = $ 52.14016485 / (1.086)^5
Present Value = $ 34.5162236 or $ 34.52
Price = $ 5.26 + $ 34.52 = $ 39.78