In: Finance
Assume Highline Company has just paid an annual dividend of $ 0.91 Analysts are predicting an 11.7 % per year growth rate in earnings over the next five years. After then, Highline's earnings are expected to grow at the current industry average of 5.1 % per year. If Highline's equity cost of capital is 7.9 % per year and its dividend payout ratio remains constant, for what price does the dividend-discount model predict Highline stock should sell?
Price of stock is $ 45.66
| As per dividend discount method, current share price is the present value of future dividends. | ||||||
| Step-1:Present value of dividend of next 5 years | ||||||
| Year | Dividend | Discount factor | Present value | |||
| a | b | c=1.079^-a | d=b*c | |||
| 1 | $ 1.02 | 0.9268 | $ 0.94 | |||
| 2 | $ 1.14 | 0.8589 | $ 0.98 | |||
| 3 | $ 1.27 | 0.7960 | $ 1.01 | |||
| 4 | $ 1.42 | 0.7378 | $ 1.05 | |||
| 5 | $ 1.58 | 0.6837 | $ 1.08 | |||
| Total | $ 5.05 | |||||
| Step-2:Calculation of present value of terminal value of dividend at the end of 5 years | ||||||
| Terminal value | = | (D5*(1+g)/(Ke-g))*DF5 | Where, | |||
| = | $ 40.61 | D5(Dividend of year 5) | = | $ 1.58 | ||
| g (Growth rate) | = | 5.10% | ||||
| Ke (Required return) | = | 7.9% | ||||
| DF5 (Discount factor of year 5) | = | 0.6837 | ||||
| Step-3:Sum of present value of future dividends | ||||||
| Sum of present value of future dividends | = | $ 5.05 | + | $ 40.61 | ||
| = | $ 45.66 | |||||
| So, Price of stock is | $ 45.66 | |||||