In: Statistics and Probability
Define and give an example of chance, precision, and statistical interference
-Book: Essentials of epidemiology in public health 4th. ed Aschengrau
Chance is the occurrence of events in the
absence of any obvious intention or cause. It is,
simply, the possibility of something happening.
When the chance is defined in mathematics, it is
called probability.
For example: chance of winning a game or chance of getting a
disease.
Precision refers to how close estimates from different samples
are to each other. For example, the standard error is a measure of
precision. When the standard error is small, estimates from
different samples will be close in value; and vice versa.
Precision is inversely related to standard error. When the standard
error is small, sample estimates are more precise; when the
standard error is large, sample estimates are less precise.
Statistical inference is the process of using data analysis to
deduce properties of an underlying distribution of
probability.Inferential statistical analysis infers properties of a
population, for example by testing hypotheses and deriving
estimates. It is assumed that the observed data set is sampled from
a larger population.
Inferential statistics can be contrasted with descriptive
statistics. Descriptive statistics is solely concerned with
properties of the observed data, and it does not rest on the
assumption that the data come from a larger population.