In: Statistics and Probability
A clinical trial tests a method designed to increase the probability of conceiving a girl. In the study, 357 babies were born, and 201 of them were girls. Use the sample data with a 0.01 significance level to test the claim that with this method, the probability of a baby being a girl is greater than 0.5. Use this information to answer the following questions.
a. List the null and alternative hypothesis.
b. P-value =
c. What is the conclusion?
d. Does the method appear to be effective?
Solution :
a ) This is the right tailed test .
The null and alternative hypothesis is
H0 : p = 0.50
Ha : p >0.5
n =357
x =201
= x / n = 201 / 357 =0.56
P0 = 0.50
1 - P0 = 1 - 0.50 = 0.50
Test statistic = z
= - P0 / [P0 * (1 - P0 ) / n]
=0.56 -0.50 / [(0.50*0.50) / 357]
= 2.38
Test statistic = z = 2.38
P(z >2.38 ) = 1 - P(z < 2.38 ) = 1 -0.9913
c ) P-value = 0.0087
= 0.05
P-value <
0.0087 < 0.05
Reject the null hypothesis .
There is sufficient evidence to suggest that
d ) Yes it is the method appear to be effective