In: Statistics and Probability
6. A clinical trial was conducted using a new method designed to increase the probability of conceiving a girl. As of this writing, 961 babies were born to parents using the new method, and 898 of them were girls. Use a 0.01 significance level to test the claim that the new method is effective in increasing the likelihood that a baby will be a girl. Identify the null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, test statistic, P-value, conclusion about the null hypothesis, and final conclusion that addresses the original claim. Use the P-value method and the normal distribution as an approximation to the binomial distribution.
Which of the following is the hypothesis test to be conducted?
A. H 0 : p > 0.5
H 1 : p = 0.5
B. H 0 : p = 0.5
H 1 : p ≠0.5
C. H 0 : p = 0.5
H 1 : p > 0.5
D. H 0 : p < 0.5
H 1 : p = 0.5
E. H 0 : p = 0.5
H 1 : p < 0.5
F. H 0 : p ≠ 0.5
H 1 = 0.5
What is the test statistic?
Z=____
(Round to two decimal places as needed.)
What is the P-value?
P-value=____
(Round to four decimal places as needed.)
What is the conclusion about the null hypothesis?
A. Fail to reject the null hypothesis because the P-value is less than or equal to the significance level, a.
B. Fail to reject the null hypothesis because the P-value is greater than the significance level, a.
C. Reject the null hypothesis because the P-value is greater than the significance level, a.
D. Reject the null hypothesis because the P-value is less than or equal to the significance level, alpha.
What is the final conclusion?
A. There is not sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that the new method is effective in increasing the likelihood that a baby will be a girl.
B. There is not sufficient evidence to support the claim that the new method is effective in increasing the likelihood that a baby will be a girl.
C. There is sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that the new method is effective in increasing the likelihood that a baby will be a girl.
D. There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that the new method is effective in increasing the likelihood that a baby will be a girl.
Solution :
This is the right tailed test .
The null and alternative hypothesis is
H0 : p = 0.5
Ha : p > 0.5
n = 961
x = 898
= x / n = 898 / 961 = 0.9344
P0 = 0.5
1 - P0 = 1 - 0.5 = 0.5
z = - P0 / [P0 * (1 - P0 ) / n]
= 0.9344 - 0.5/ [(0.5 * 0.5) / 961]
= 26.93
Test statistic = 26.93
This is the right tailed test .
P(z > 26.93) = 1 - P(z < 26.93) = 1 - 1 = 0
P-value = 0
= 0.01
P-value <
D. Reject the null hypothesis because the P-value is less than or equal to the significance level,
C. There is sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that the new method is effective in increasing the
likelihood that a baby will be a girl.