In: Statistics and Probability
A clinical trial tests a method designed to increase the probability of conceiving a girl. In the study 390 babies wereborn, and 312 of them were girls.
Use the sample data to construct a 99% confidence interval estimate of the percentage of girls born.
Based on the result, does the method appear to be effective?
| sample success x = | 312 | |
| sample size n= | 390 | |
| sample proportion p̂ =x/n= | 0.8000 | |
| std error se= √(p*(1-p)/n) = | 0.0203 | |
| for 99 % CI value of z= | 2.576 | |
| margin of error E=z*std error = | 0.0522 | |
| lower bound=p̂ -E = | 0.7478 | |
| Upper bound=p̂ +E = | 0.8522 | |
| from above 99% confidence interval for population proportion =(0.748,0.852) |
(since above interval has all values above 0.50 , therefore method appear to be effective in increasing the probability of conceiving a girl