In: Economics
A farm is evaluating two options to expand its facilities to serve a new manufacturing plant. The new plant will require 2000 telephone lines this year and another 2000 lines in 10 years. The plant will operate for 30 years.
Option 1: Install now network with capacity to serve 4000 lines. This network will cost $27,000 and annual maintenance costs will be $1900.
Option 2: Provide a network with capacity to serve 2000 lines now and a second network to serve the other 2000 lines in 10 years.
Each network will cost $21000 and will have annual maintenance of $2000. Both options will last at least 30 years, and the cost of removing the cables is offset by their salvage value.
a) Draw a cash flow diagram for each Option.
b) Which option should be selected assuming 10% interest rate? Use the PW as decision criterion.
Solution:
There are two options for the farm to expand its facilities.
Number of telephone lines required in time 0 = 2000
Number of telephone lines required in time 10 = 2000
Number of years of operation (n)= 30
Rate of interest (i) = 10% = 0.1
Option 1:
Number of telephoone lines installed at time 0 = 4000
Cost of the network = $27,000
Annual mintenance cost of the network = $ 1900
Option 2:
Number of telephoone lines installed at time 0 = 2000
Number of telephoone lines installed at time 10 = 2000
Cost of each network = $21,000
Annual mintenance cost of the network = $ 2000
a) Cashflow diagrams:
b) Option 1:
Present worth = -27000 - 1900 { (P/F, i, n1) x (P/F, i, n30)}
= -27000 - 1900 { (P/F, 10%, 1) x (P/F, 10%, 30)}
= -27000 - 1900 ( 0.9091 x 0.0573) ...[Present factor values from compound interest tables]
= -27000 - (1900 x 0.05209143)
= -27000 - 98.973717
= - $27,098.97372
Option 2:
Present worth = -21000 -21000(P/F, i, n) - 2000 { (P/F, i, n1) x (P/F, i, n30)}
= -21000 - 21000(P/F, 10%, 10) - 2000 { (P/F, 10%, 1) x (P/F, 10%, 30)}
= -21000 - (21000 x 0.3855) - 2000 ( 0.9091 x 0.0573) ..[Present factor values from compound interest tables]
= -21000 - 8095.5 - (2000 x 0.05209143)
= -21000 - 8095.5 - 104.18286
= - $29,199.68286
Using Present worth as a decision criteria we observe that both the options have negative present worth. However, the option 1's negative present worth is less than that of option 2 ( - $27,098.97372 < - $29,199.68286) , which means that option 1 will also incur loss but relatively less than option 2. Hence, the farm should go ahead with Option1.