In: Operations Management
part 2
Duque Vergere manages a Do or Die Theater complex called Cinema I, II, III, and IV. Each of the four auditoriums plays a different film; the schedule staggers starting times to avoid the large crowds that would occur if all four movies started at the same time. The theater has a single ticket booth and a cashier who can maintain an average service rate of 280 patrons per hour. Service times are assumed to follow an exponential distribution. Arrivals on a normally active day are Poisson distributed and average 210 per hour. To determine the efficiency of the current ticket operation, Duque Vergere wishes to examine several queue-operating characteristics.
d.) What is the average time spent waiting in line to
get to the ticket window?
e.) What is the probability that there are more than two people in
the system? More than three people? More than four?
We apply the single-server waiting line model:
= Mean Arrival rate of patrons
Here,
= 210 per hour
= Mean service rate
Here,
= 280 per hour
Average utilization of the system p =
/
p = 210 / 280 = 0.75
The average time spent in the system
W = 1 / (280 - 210)
W = 0.014 hour = 0.014 * 60 minutes = 0.86 minutes
Average time spent in the line WQ = p * W
Average time spent in the line WQ = 0.75 * 0.014
Average time spent in the line WQ = 0.0107 hours = 0.0107 * 60 = 0.643 minutes
The probability that there are more than two people in the system = 1 - Probability of less than or equal to two people in the system
Probability of n customers in the system Pn = (1-p) * pn
Probability of 0 customers in the system = (1 - 0.75) * 0.750 = 0.25
Probability of 1 customer in the system = (1 - 0.75) * 0.751 = 0.188
Probability of 2 customers in the system = (1 - 0.75) * 0.750 = 0.141
Probability of 3 customers in the system = (1 - 0.75) * 0.750 = 0.105
Probability of 4 customers in the system = (1 - 0.75) * 0.750 = 0.079
The probability that there are more than two people in the system = 1 - Probability of less than or equal to two people in the system
Probability of less than or equal to two people in the system = Probability of (0 + 1 + 2) customers in the system
Probability of less than or equal to two people in the system = 0.25 + 0.188 + 0.141 = 0.579
The probability that there are more than two people in the system = 1 - 0.579
The probability that there are more than two people in the system = 0.421
The probability that there are more than three people in the system = 1 - Probability of less than or equal to three people in the system
Probability of less than or equal to three people in the system = Probability of (0 + 1 + 2 + 3) customers in the system
Probability of less than or equal to three people in the system = 0.25 + 0.188 + 0.141 + 0.105 = 0.684
The probability that there are more than three people in the system = 1 - 0.684
The probability that there are more than three people in the system = 0.316
The probability that there are more than four people in the system = 1 - Probability of less than or equal to four people in the system
Probability of less than or equal to four people in the system = Probability of (0 + 1 + 2 + 3 + 4) customers in the system
Probability of less than or equal to four people in the system = 0.25 + 0.188 + 0.141 + 0.105 + 0.079 = 0.764
The probability that there are more than four people in the system = 1 - 0.764
The probability that there are more than four people in the system = 0.236
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