In: Statistics and Probability
1) Let U1, U2, ... be independent random variables, each uniformly distributed over the interval (0, 1]. These random variables represent successive bigs on an asset that you are trying to sell, and that you must sell by time = t, when the asset becomes worthless. As a strategy, you adopt a secret number \Theta and you will accept the first offer that's greater than \Theta . The offers arrive according to a Poisson process with rate \lambda = 1. For example, you accept the second offer if U1 <= \Theta and U2 > \Theta . What is the probability that you sell the asset by time = t? What value for \Theta maximizes your expected return?
2) Stochastic