In: Statistics and Probability
ferry services are getting more popular among tourists in Turkey. Apart from safety aspects, timing of the journeys is always monitored, as lengthier and shorter journeys than scheduled are not desirable. For a service between Istanbul and Bursa in the Sea of Marmara, the ferries’ travel times are monitored for 15 days, four sample journeys each day. The results are shown in the table below.
MEAN(MINUTES) | MINIMUM | MAXIMUM |
---|---|---|
121 | 117 | 125 |
123 | 119 | 126 |
124 | 119 | 125 |
115 | 113 | 117 |
114 | 111 | 118 |
126 | 118 | 130 |
130 | 122 | 133 |
122 | 119 | 125 |
123 | 118 |
124 |
119 | 117 | 125 |
128 | 118 | 133 |
124 | 120 | 127 |
116 | 112 | 120 |
120 | 117 | 124 |
121 | 118 | 126 |
Value for A2, D3 and D4
Sample Size, n | A2 | D3 | D4 |
2 | 1.88 | 0 | 3.27 |
3 | 1.02 | 0 | 2.57 |
4 | 0.73 | 0 | 2.28 |
5 | 0.58 | 0 | 2.11 |
6 | 0.48 | 0 | 2.00 |
7 | 0.42 | 0.08 | 1.92 |
8 | 0.37 | 0.14 | 1.86 |
9 | 0.34 | 0.18 | 1.82 |
10 | 0.31 | 0.22 | 1.78 |
11 | 0.29 | 0.26 | 1.74 |
12 | 0.27 | 0.28 | 1.72 |
(i) Develop an X-bar chart and an R-chart. Show your workings clearly.
(ii) Plot the X-bar chart and R-chart. From the charts, what comments can you make about the process?
i) To find the control limits of x-bar chart we first need to find the means of all means (x-double bar) and the R-bar (mean of Range)
As all the sample means are given, x-double bar can be found as below
x-double bar = (121+123+124+115+114+126+130+122+123+119+128+124+116+120+121)/15 = 1826/15 = 121.73
As maximum and minimum for each sample is given, the range for each sample is simply the difference between maximum and minimum. Hence we have the sample ranges as below
Range for sample 1 = 125-117 =
8
Range for sample 2 = 126-119 = 7
Range for sample 3 = 125-119 = 6
Range for sample 4 = 117-113 = 4
Range for sample 5 = 118-111 = 7
Range for sample 6 = 130-118 = 12
Range for sample 7 = 133-122 = 11
Range for sample 8 = 125-119 = 6
Range for sample 9 = 124-118 = 6
Range for sample 10 = 125-117 = 8
Range for sample 11 = 133-118 = 15
Range for sample 12 = 127-120 = 7
Range for sample 13 = 120-112 = 8
Range for sample 14 = 124-117 = 7
Range for sample 15 = 126-118 = 8
R-bar is the average of above ranges. Hence R-bar is as below
R-bar = (8+7+6+4+7+12+11+6+6+8+15+7+8+7+8)/15 = 120/8 = 8
Now for the x-bar chart the control limits are given as per below formula
Control Limits = (x-double bar) A2*(R-bar)
From the control chart tables given for the sample size of 4, A2 = 0.73
The Central Line (CL) is simply the x-double bar. Hence the parameters for x-bar chart are as below
CLx = 121.73
UCLx = x-double bar+A2*(R-bar) = 121.73+0.73*8 = 127.57
LCLx = x-double bar-A2*(R-bar) = 121.73-0.73*8 = 115.89
For the range control chart the control limits are given as below
LCL = D3*R-bar
UCL = D4*R-bar
The central line for this chart is simply the R-bar
For sample size of 4, we have D3 = 0 and D4 = 2.28. Hence the parameters for range control chart are
CLR = 8
LCLR = 0*8 = 0
UCLR = 2.28*8 = 18.24
b) The plots of x-bar and R-bar using the above parameters are as below
From the above charts we can see that while the range for the process is in control, the means are not in control, there are 4 samples which lie outside the control limits. Hence we can see that the process is not in control.