In: Finance
Question 7
A retail outlet finds from historic data that it sells an average of 220 copies of a newspaper daily; this figure comes with a standard deviation of 35 units. The sales figures can be approximated to a normal distribution.
.(a)Mean Demand=220
Standard Deviation of Demand=35
If it wishes to cater to 98% of possible demand,
Cumulative Area under the Standard Normal Table from -3 to N(d)=0.98
For N(d)=0.9798, D=2.05
For N(d)=0.9821, D=2.10
By Interpolation,
For N(d)=0.98,
D=2.05+((2.10-2.05)/(0.9821-0.9798))*(0.9800-0.9798)
D=2.05+0.004348=2.054348
Assume,Number of Copies it should stock =X
((X-Mean)/(Standard Deviation ))=2.054348
((X-220)/35)=2.054348
X-220=2.054348*35=71.90218
X=220+71.90218=291.9022
Rounded to nearest whole no.
X=292
Number of copies to be stocked =292
b.If it satisfies 45% of daily demand :
N(d)=0.45
For N(d)=0.45,
Cumulative Area under the Standard Normal Table \
N(d)=0.4483, D=-0.13
N(d)=0.4522, D=-0.12
By interpolation,
For N(d)=0.45,
D=-0.1236
Assume no. of copies to be stocked =X
((X-220)/35)=-0.1236
X-220=-0.1236*35=-4.326
X=220-4.326=215.67
Rounded to nearest whole Number
X=216
Number of copies to be stocked =216