In: Statistics and Probability
a store has been grossing over $850 per day about 60%
of business days it is open, what are the probabilities the store
will gross over $850
(a) at least 3 out of 5 days?
(b) at least 6 out of 10 days?
(c)fewer than 5 out of 10 days?
(d) fewer than 6 out of the next 20 days?
Since this is a binomial distribution, you have p = 0.6
Remember a binomial is (n choose k) p^k (1-p)^n-k
a) At least 3 out of 5 business days
Which means you want to find a probability when there are 3, 4, and
5 business days greater than $850 and add them up. So you
have:
(5 choose 3) 0.6^3 (0.4)^2 + (5 choose 4) .60^4 (.4)^1 + (5 choose
5)0.6^5 (0.4)^0
= 0.68256
The probabilities the store will gross over $850 at least 3 out of 5 days is 0.68256
b) You want to find p(6) + p(7) + p(8) +p(9) + p(10)
which is (10 choose 6) .6^6(.4)^4 + (10 choose 7) .6^7(.4)^3 +
(10choose 8) .6^8(.4)^2 + (10 choose 9) .6^9(.4)^1 + (10 choose
10).6^10 (.4)^0
= 0.63310
The probabilities the store will gross over $850 at least 6 out of 10 daysis 0.63310
c) fewer than 5 out of 10
At least 6 means we find probability when there are 6, 7, 8, 9,
or10 business days that will gross over $850, fewer than 5 means
4,3, 2, 1 , 0 business days grossing over 850)
Since we already found at least 6 business days, we just need to
find p(5) and then add it to P(at least 6) and subtract it
from1.
(10 choose 5)(.6^5)(.4^5) = .2006
p(at least 5) = p(at least 6) + p(5) = .63310 + .2006 =
.83376
1-.83376 = 0.1662
The probabilities the store will gross over $850fewer than
5 out of 10 days is 0.1662
d) This is the same as finding p(0) + p(1) + p(2) + p(3) + p(4)
+p(5) where n = 20
(20 choose 0)(.6^0)(.4^20) + (20 choose 1)(.6^1)(.4^19) + .... +(20
choose 5)(.6^5)(.4^15)
= 0.0016
The probabilities the store will gross over $850 fewer than
6 out of the next 20 days is 0.0016