In: Finance
CAPM and expected returns..
a. Given the following holding-period returns, compute the average returns and the standard deviations for the Zemin Corporation and for the market.
b. If Zemin's beta is 1.88 and the risk-free rate is 7 percent, what would be an expected return for an investor owning Zemin?
(Note: Because the preceding returns are based on monthly data, you will need to annualize the returns to make them comparable with the risk-free rate. For simplicity, you can convert from monthly to yearly returns by multiplying the average monthly returns by 12.)
c. How does Zemin's historical average return compare with the return you believe you should expect based on the capital asset pricing model and the firm's systematic risk?
Month | Zemin Corp. | Market |
1 | 8% | 6% |
2 | 4% | 1% |
3 | 0% | 1% |
4 | -1% | -1% |
5 | 6% | 4% |
6 | 2% | 1% |
Answer a:
Zemin Corp:
Average monthly return = 3.17%
Standard deviation = 3.4881%
Market:
Average monthly return = 2%
Standard deviation = 2.5298%
Working:
The above excel with 'show formula' is as below:
Answer b:
Average monthly return (market.) = 2%
Annualized return (market) = 2% * 12 = 24%
Zemin's beta is = 1.88 and
Risk-free rate is = 7%
Expected Return = Risk free rate + Beta * (Market rate of return - Risk free rate)
Expected return for an investor owning Zemin Corp. = 7% + 1.88 * (24%- 7%) = 38.96%
Expected return for an investor owning Zemin Corp. = 38.96%
Answer c:
Average monthly return (Zemin Corp.) = 3.1667%
Annualized return (Zemin Corp.) = 3.1667% * 12 = 38%
As such:
Zemin's historical average return = 38%
Expected return for an investor owning Zemin Corp. using CAPM = 38.96%
Zemin's historical return is slightly below (by 0.96%) its expected return based on CAPM.