In: Finance
The following data represent the probability distribution of the holding period returns for an investment in Lazy Rapids Kayaks (LARK) stock. State of the Economy Scenario #(s) Probability, p(s) HPR Boom 1 0.324 30.80% Normal growth 2 0.396 8.90% Recession 3 0.28 -18.00% a. What is the expected return on LARK? (Round your answer to 2 decimal places.) Expected return % b. What is the standard deviation of the returns on LARK? (Round your answer to 2 decimal places.) Standard deviation %
Expected return=Respective return*Respective probability
=(0.324*30.8)+(0.396*8.9)+(0.28*-18)
=8.4636%
=8.46%(Approx)
Probability | Return | Probability*(Return-Expected Return)^2 |
0.324 | 30.8 | 0.324*(30.8-8.4636)^2=161.648384 |
0.396 | 8.9 | 0.396*(8.9-8.4636)^2=0.0754162042 |
0.28 | -18 | 0.28*(-18-8.4636)^2=196.090195 |
Total=357.813995% |
Standard deviation=[Total Probability*(Return-Expected Return)^2/Total probability]^(1/2)
=(357.813995)^(1/2)
=18.92%(Approx)