In: Statistics and Probability
The dataset RacingBicycles.xlsx lists the weight (in pounds) and price for a sample of racing bicycles with weight as a predictor of price. Using the approximation method discussed in class and represented by the formulas below,
Construct and interpret a 93% confidence interval for the mean price of racing bicycles that weigh 15.5 pounds.
Construct and interpret a 93% prediction interval for the price of a racing bicycle weighing 15.5 pounds.
Brand | Weight | Price |
FELT F5 | 17.8 | 2100 |
PINARELLO Paris | 16.1 | 6250 |
ORBEA Orca GDR | 14.9 | 8370 |
EDDY MERCKX EMX-7 | 15.9 | 6200 |
BH RC1 Ultegra | 17.2 | 4000 |
BH Ultralight 386 | 13.1 | 8600 |
CERVELO S5 Team | 16.2 | 6000 |
GIANT TCR Advanced 2 | 17.1 | 2580 |
WILIER TRIESTINA Gran Turismo | 17.6 | 3400 |
SPECIALIZED S-Works Amira SL4 | 14.1 | 8000 |
Lease square regression equation.
Y = b0 + b1 *x
Or Price= b0 + b1 * Weight
b0 is Intercept , we can find intercept using excel function =INTERCEPT( Y data set column range, x data set column range )
b1 is Slope , we can find slope using excel function =SLOPE( Y data set column range, x data set column range )
So b0 = 28574.1 and b1 = -1439.01
regression equation : Price= 28574.1 - 1439.01 * Weight
We are given weight = 15.5
Therefore predicted price = 28574.1 - (1439.01 * 15.5 )
Predicted price ( ) = 6269.503
a) Confidence interval =
We are given confidence level = 93% , therefore α = 1- 0.93 = 0.07 and df = 10 - 2 = 8
We can find using excel function =TINV( 0.07 ,8 ) = 2.09
We can find Se using excel function =STEYX( y data set ,x data set) = 942.2661
We can find using excel function =AVERAGE(x data set ) = 16
SSxx = = 21.74
Confidence interval =
We are 93% Confidence that the mean price of racing bicycles that weigh 15.5 pounds is between ( 5611.911 , 6927.095 )
b) Prediction interval =
=
We are 93% Confidence that the mean price of racing bicycles that weigh 15.5 pounds is between ( 4193.278 , 8345.729 )