In: Statistics and Probability
Use the sample data and confidence level given below to complete parts (a) through (d).
In a study of cell phone use and brain hemispheric dominance, an Internet survey was e-mailed to 2415 subjects randomly selected from an online group involved with ears. 1176 surveys were returned. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of returned surveys.
a) Find the best point estimate of the population proportion p. _______ (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
b) Identify the value of the margin of error E. E=_____ (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
c) Construct the confidence interval. ____< p <______ (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
d) Write a statement that correctly interprets the confidence interval. Choose the correct answer below.
A. There is a 95% chance that the true value of the population
proportion will fall between the lower bound and the upper
bound.
B. One has 95% confidence that the interval from the lower bound
to the upper bound actually does contain the true value of the
population proportion.
C. 95% of sample proportions will fall between the lower bound and
the upper bound.
D. One has 95% confidence that the sample proportion is equal to
the population proportion.
Solution :
Given that,
n = 2415
x = 1176
a)Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 1176 / 2415 = 0.487
1 - = 1 - 0.487 = 0.513
At 95% confidence level
= 1 - 95%
=1 - 0.95 =0.05
/2
= 0.025
Z/2
= Z0.025 = 1.960
b)Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.96 (((0.487 * 0.513) / 2415)
= 0.020
c) A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.487 - 0.020 < p < 0.487 + 0.020
0.467 < p < 0.507
B. One has 95% confidence that the interval from the lower bound to the upper bound actually does contain the true value of the population proportion.