In: Statistics and Probability
Use the sample data and confidence level given below to complete parts (a) through (d).
A drug is used to help prevent blood clots in certain patients. In clinical trials, among
43704370
patients treated with the drug,
139139
developed the adverse reaction of nausea. Construct a
9090 %
confidence interval for the proportion of adverse reactions.
a) Find the best point estimate of the population proportion p.
nothing
Solution :
Given that,
n = 437
x = 139
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 139 / 437 = 0.318
1 - = 1 - 0.318 = 0.682
At 90% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 90% = 1 - 0.90 = 0.10
/ 2 = 0.10 / 2 = 0.05
Z/2 = Z 0.05 = 1.645
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.645 * (((0.318 * 0.682) / 437)
= 0.037
A 90% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.318 - 0.037 < p < 0.318 + 0.037
0.281 < p < 0.355
The 90% confidence interval for the population proportion p is : (0.281 , 0.355)