In: Statistics and Probability
You receive a year-end statement from your broker that details your stock ownership over the years, and the total gain or loss over the holding period for each. You want to devise a method to make a meaningful comparison of the returns in order to determine which stock performed the best and which performed the worst. The problem is, the holding periods all have different starting and ending dates and are different lengths.
Stock returns
Stock Buy date Buy price (P0)
Sell date Sell price (P1) Total
return
((P1-P0)/P0)
A 1/1/2002 16.00
1/1/2016 25.00 56.3%
B 1/1/2014 87.00
1/1/2015 80.00 -8.0%
C 1/1/2008 26.00
1/1/2014 28.00 7.7%
D 1/1/2001 17.50
1/1/2008 23.50 34.3%
E 1/1/2004 76.00
1/1/2007 68.00 -10.5%
F 1/1/2006 12.00
1/1/2016 13.00 8.3%
What is the best way to compare the returns of these stocks?
Use the return over the entire holding period for each
stock to compare
Using the total return over the holding period for
each stock, take the geometric mean to get the one year average
return, and compare
Find the dollar change of each stock (Sell price minus
Buy price) and compare
Using the total return over the holding period for
each stock, take the straight average to get the one year average
return, and compare
Refer Below screen shot where
a. Geometric Mean of one year Average Return of Column K derived in yellow colored cells below i.e. G.M= 1.278
b. Dollar change of each stock (Sell price minus Buy price) derived in column H
Interpretation : It shows Return of the Stocks A and D are higher since they have hold for long period of time as compare to other stocks. Also Stock B, E and F are holded for less amount of period hence it has loss or less profit as compare to stock A and D.
c. Average of One year average return are derived using data from Column K . refer Yellow colored cell of Average.
Average= -1.57
Which shows overall return of all stocks is poor.
Stocks A and D are performed best but it took more than 5 years to give good returns.
Stocks B, E and F are poor performer in portfolio which impacted the overall average of returns.