In: Finance
Problem 2:
A stock currently sells for $50. In six months it will either rise to $60 or decline to $45. The continuous compounding risk-free interest rate is 5% per year.
(a) Expected Prices in 6-months: $ 60 and $ 45
Current Stock Price = $ 50, Call Exercise Price = $ 50
% Up Move = [(60-50) / 50] x 100 = 20 % and % Down Move = [(50-45)/50] x100 = 10 %
u = 1 + (20/100) = 1.2 and d = 1-(10/100) = 0.9
Risk-Free Rate = 5 % and Tenure = 6-months
Risk-Neutral Probability of Up Move = p = [e^{0.05 x 0.5} - 0.9] / [1.2 - 0.9] = 0.4177
After 6-months:
If price is $ 60, then call payoff = (60-50) = $ 10 and if price is $ 45, then call payoff = $ 0
Expected Payoff = 0.4177 x 10 + (1-0.4177) x 0 = $ 4.177
Call Value = PV of Expected Payoff = 4.177 / e^(0.05 x 0.5) = $ 4.07387 ~ $ 4.074
(b) After 6-months:
Put Exercise Price = $ 50
If price is $ 60, the put payoff = $ 0 and if price is $ 45, then put payoff = (50 - 45) = $ 5
Expected Payoff = 0.4177 x 0 + (1-0.4177) x 5 = $ 2.9115
Put Value = PV of Expected Payoff = 2.9115 / e^(0.05 x 0.5) = $ 2.839615 ~ $ 2.839
(c) PUT Call Parity: Call Value + PV of Exercise Price = Put Value + Stock Price
LHS Value = 4.074 + 50/e^(0.05 x 0.5) = $ 52.839
RHS Value = 2.839 + 50 = $ 52.839
As LHS = RHS, the put-call parity result holds.