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In: Statistics and Probability

Problem #4 PERT Analysis: Consider the project with the following estimates for activity times and precedence...

Problem #4

PERT Analysis: Consider the project with the following estimates for activity times and precedence relationships (be sure to use the triple time estimate). All times are in days:

Activity

Optimistic

Time

Most

Likely Time

Pessimistic

Time

Immediate

Predecessor(s)

A

3

4

6

---

B

5

7

10

---

C

2

3

11

A

D

2

5

8

B

E

1

7

7

B

F

3

5

7

C, D

G

7

8

9

D, E

H

2

6

10

F

What is the expected duration of the project?

If the deadline of the project is 26 days, what is the probability of finishing the project on time?

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