In: Statistics and Probability
Problem #4
PERT Analysis: Consider the project with the following estimates for activity times and precedence relationships (be sure to use the triple time estimate). All times are in days:
Activity |
Optimistic Time |
Most Likely Time |
Pessimistic Time |
Immediate Predecessor(s) |
A |
3 |
4 |
6 |
--- |
B |
5 |
7 |
10 |
--- |
C |
2 |
3 |
11 |
A |
D |
2 |
5 |
8 |
B |
E |
1 |
7 |
7 |
B |
F |
3 |
5 |
7 |
C, D |
G |
7 |
8 |
9 |
D, E |
H |
2 |
6 |
10 |
F |
What is the expected duration of the project?
If the deadline of the project is 26 days, what is the probability of finishing the project on time?