In: Statistics and Probability
Assume a normal population with known variance σ2, a random sample (n< 30) is selected. Let x¯,s represent the sample mean and sample deviation. (1)(2pts) write down the formula: 98% one-sided confidence interval with upper bound for the
population mean. (2)(6pts) show how to derive the confidence interval formula in (1).
Let X has a normal distribution with mean
and variance
. Then we know that
has a Normal distribution with mean
and Variance
. Therefore by definition we have
The 98% one-sided confidence interval for
is
.
2. In general, we know that the confidence interval for a population mean is
This will give a two sided interval. This shows that
Here we are asked to find a one-sided 98% confidence Interval.
Since here 98% is greater than 50%, the interval therefore cover
the negative side or positive side full, ie one of the limits will
either will be
(For the left side interval) or
for the positive side.
Case i. One sided (left side): Since this is left side, this
will start from
. We know that
P(.
Since 98% is 0.5+0.48. his can be found from EXCEL function
NORM.S.INV(0.98) which is 2.0567. Therefore corresponding to 0.48,
we have the Z value is 2.0547. ie
.
Hence the one sided 98% interval is
Case(ii): If a right sided confidence is considered then it is